Bucks vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 31, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | FDWI | FDSM

The Milwaukee Bucks visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Memphis, TN.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Bucks vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 1-3 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 1-4 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-6.5 -105O 231.5 -105-250
Memphis Grizzlies +6.5 -115U 231.5 -115+200

Grizzlies vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+12.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+9.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 61 games (+6.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 51 games (+16.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+13.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+13.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+9.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • 1-3 against the Moneyline (-7.6 Units / -73.08% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 1-4 (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • 2-3 against the Moneyline (-7.5 Units / -62.76% ROI)
  • 4-1 against the Over for game total points (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI)
  • 1-4 against the Under for game total points (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 82 games (-23.80 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 75 games (-23.75 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 41 games at home (-21.05 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 80 games (-20.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 74 games (-17.55 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 60 games (-59.30 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 78 games (-27.80 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 88 games (-23.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 66 games (-23.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 46 away games (-22.95 Units / -43% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 51-21 (.708) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 32-9 (.780) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Grizzlies were 7-43 (.140) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .339

The Grizzlies were 9-41 (.180) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. BucksThursday‘s Game, Oct. 31

  • Memphis Grizzlies – No Injuries Reported
  • Milwaukee Bucks – No Injuries Reported

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Bucks averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,358 points/940 shots) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks shot 74% from the free throw line (1,364/1,837) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks averaged 15.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,230 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (6,442 rebounds/168 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies averaged 6.1 blocks per game (501 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.