Bucks vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 22

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | FDWI | NSCA

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento, CA, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bucks vs Kings Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 33-35 against the spread, while the Kings are 30-36 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks O
Sacramento Kings U

Kings vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Kings.

Kings vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 38 away games (+13.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 88 games (+11.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 61 games (+8.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 away games (+7.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.70 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 48 games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 33-35 (-5.5 Units / -7.14% ROI).

  • 40-30 against the Moneyline (-12.3 Units / -7.41% ROI)
  • 34-36 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -7.27% ROI)
  • 36-34 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -1.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 30-36 (-9.6 Units / -12.65% ROI).

  • 35-34 against the Moneyline (-16.65 Units / -10.32% ROI)
  • 38-30 against the Over for game total points (+5 Units / 6.59% ROI)
  • 30-38 against the Under for game total points (-11.85 Units / -15.6% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 64 games (-24.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 64 games (-22.32 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 82 games (-19.75 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 32 games at home (-18.70 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 34 games at home (-16.83 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 87 games (-46.95 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-27.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 88 games (-23.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 75 games (-19.65 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 42 away games (-19.05 Units / -40% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Bucks are 23-6 (.793) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — T-8th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — worst in the NBA.

The Bucks are 37-2 (.949) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .837

The Bucks are 31-26 (.544) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Bucks are 2-9 (.182) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .252

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Kings are winless (0-14) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090

The Kings are 52-24 (.684) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Kings are 16-3 (.842) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706

The Kings were 26-14 (.650) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 9.8 second chance points per game (322 points/33 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Bucks have averaged 43.1 points in the paint per game (2,974 points/69 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9

The Bucks averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,358 points/940 shots) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have averaged 11.8 fast break points per game (388 points/33 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 116.6 points per game (8,046 points/69 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.7

The Kings averaged 14.6 second chance points per game (1,197 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have made 12.6 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Kings had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,324 assists/ 1,078 TOs) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,648 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (510 steals/69 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings averaged 4.2 blocks per game (342 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Kings have allowed 5.7 second chance points per game (866 points/151 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (1,011/2,634) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.