- The Thunder are -4.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
- Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
- Watch the game on ABC
The Milwaukee Bucks visit T-Mobile Arena to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Las Vegas, NV.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Bucks vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 10-14 against the spread, while the Thunder are 16-9 against the spread.
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Bucks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Milwaukee Bucks | O | ||
| Oklahoma City Thunder | U |
Thunder vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Thunder.
Thunder vs Bucks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.
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Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 87 games (+11.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 82 games (+8.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 47 games at home (+23.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+16.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 52 of their last 92 games (+11.24 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 77 games (+8.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 10-14 (-5.4 Units / -19.64% ROI).
- 14-11 against the Moneyline (-4.95 Units / -7.86% ROI)
- 11-14 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -16% ROI)
- 14-11 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 16-9 (+6.1 Units / 22.18% ROI).
- 20-5 against the Moneyline (+5.9 Units / 5.8% ROI)
- 11-14 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -16% ROI)
- 14-11 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.38 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 93 games (-18.20 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 93 games (-16.65 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 91 games (-16.65 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 81 games (-15.95 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 77 games (-28.35 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-24.55 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 84 games (-23.40 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 82 games (-22.95 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-20.65 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Bucks are 31-1 (.969) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .843
The Bucks are 8-4 (.667) when winning the rebounding margin this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .613
The Bucks are 5-1 (.833) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .582
The Bucks are 35-16 (.686) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Thunder are 10-1 (.909) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Thunder are 55-16 (.775) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535
The Thunder are 11-3 (.786) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .439
The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 10.4 second chance points per game (260 points/25 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Bucks are shooting 73% from the free throw line (426/584) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Bucks have averaged 1.37 points per shot (6,184 points/4,500 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (295 turnovers/25 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9
The Thunder averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,115 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (924 rebounds/25 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Bucks have averaged 6.9 steals per game (737 steals/107 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7
The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 12.2 steals per game (304 steals/25 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Thunder have allowed an eFG% of 50% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Thunder have averaged 9.7 steals per game (512 steals/53 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7
The Thunder have averaged 7.0 blocks per game (379 blocks/54 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.3
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