Bulls vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 25, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -9.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Watch the game on CHSN | FDWI

The Chicago Bulls visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Bulls vs Bucks Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 0-1 against the spread, while the Bucks are 1-0 against the spread.


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Bulls vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Chicago Bulls+9.5 -110O 234.5 -105+340
Milwaukee Bucks -9.5 -110U 234.5 -115-450

Bucks vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 78.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bulls and Bucks.

Bucks vs Bulls Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 50 games (+19.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 48 games (+15.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 37 away games (+13.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 85 games (+13.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 away games (+11.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+10.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games (+9.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Bulls have gone 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-1 against the Moneyline (-1 Units / -100% ROI)
  • 1-0 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI)
  • 0-1 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Bucks have gone 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 1-0 against the Moneyline (+1 Units / 55.56% ROI)
  • 1-0 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI)
  • 0-1 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 57 games (-50.70 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 75 games (-28.25 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 88 games (-22.30 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 37 of their last 89 games (-20.45 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 63 games (-19.65 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 85 games (-25.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 83 games (-24.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 69 games (-23.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 37 away games (-18.90 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 83 games (-18.75 Units / -18% ROI)

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Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Bulls were 10-14 (.417) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,059 turnovers/82 games) last season — T-9th-lowest in the NBA.

The Bulls were 10-15 (.400) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bulls were 2-9 (.182) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Bulls are 21-31 (.404) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 28-9 (.757) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Bulls allowed 14.6 made three-pointers per game last season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Bucks vs. BullsFriday‘s Game, Oct. 25

  • Milwaukee Bucks – No Injuries Reported
  • Chicago Bulls – No Injuries Reported

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 10.6 second chance points per game (866 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Bulls made 10.4 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Bulls averaged 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,064 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Bulls averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (400 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Bucks averaged 14.4 second chance points per game (1,180 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Bucks had an eFG% of 57% last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,958 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,849 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls averaged 7.8 steals per game (638 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bulls averaged 7.9 steals per game (644 steals/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (6,327 rebounds/165 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks forced 11.8 turnovers per game (482 turnovers/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.