Cavaliers vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 9

  • The Cavaliers are -9.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDOH | FDWI | ESPN

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI, USA.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers vs Bucks Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 40-22 against the spread, while the Bucks are 30-32 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers-7.5 -110O 242.5 -110-295
Milwaukee Bucks +7.5 -110U 242.5 -110+230

Bucks vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Bucks.

Bucks vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 67 games (+35.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 60 of their last 94 games (+22.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 42 of their last 65 games (+17.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 52 of their last 85 games (+15.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games (+14.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+10.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.52 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+7.95 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 40-22 (+15.8 Units / 22.8% ROI).

  • 53-10 against the Moneyline (+31.6 Units / 10.81% ROI)
  • 41-22 against the Over for game total points (+16.8 Units / 24.24% ROI)
  • 22-41 against the Under for game total points (-23.1 Units / -33.33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 30-32 (-5.2 Units / -7.5% ROI).

  • 37-26 against the Moneyline (-10.85 Units / -7.02% ROI)
  • 32-31 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -3.03% ROI)
  • 31-32 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -6.06% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 80 games (-45.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 86 games (-24.20 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 84 games (-21.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 68 games (-20.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 94 games (-32.00 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 94 games (-31.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 94 games (-29.43 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 85 games (-27.22 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 94 games (-25.85 Units / -24% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Cavaliers are 26-2 (.929) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Cavaliers are 48-9 (.842) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508

The Cavaliers are 82-31 (.726) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .488

The Cavaliers are undefeated (12-0) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Bucks are 36-2 (.947) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .839

The Bucks are 13-7 (.650) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Bucks were 25-10 (.714) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Bucks are 77-29 (.726) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .657

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have made 16.1 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Cavaliers are shooting 39% from three (1,016/2,589) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers have averaged 123.1 points per game (7,753 points/63 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.6

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 57% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 11.3 second chance points per game (788 points/70 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Bucks have averaged 12.0 fast break points per game (840 points/70 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.7

The Bucks have averaged 1.32 points per shot (7,120 points/5,394 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Bucks have averaged 1.36 points per shot (8,242 points/6,063 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (278 blocks/63 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,303 rebounds/63 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Cavaliers averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,214 rebounds/145 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,356 rebounds/62 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Bucks have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,391 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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