Cavaliers vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics (44-18) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers (39-25)
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BOS & BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Cavaliers vs Celtics Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 32-28 against the spread, while the Celtics are 33-28 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+4.5 -105O 218.5 -115+160
Boston Celtics -4.5 -115U 218.5 -115-200

Celtics vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Wednesday‘s game with 62.1% confidence.

Celtics vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cavaliers and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 63 games (+18.56 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 62 games (+14.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 84 games (+6.48 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 47 games (+6.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 67 games (+28.93 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 59 of their last 100 games (+13.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.51 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 70 games (+11.03 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 62 games (+10.92 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 32-28 (+1.15 Units / 1.63% ROI).

  • 39-25 against the Moneyline (+1.25 Units / 0.88% ROI)
  • 30-34 against the Over for game total points (-7.4 Units / -10.51% ROI)
  • 34-30 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 1.42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 33-28 (+2.2 Units / 3.23% ROI).

  • 44-18 against the Moneyline (-10.65 Units / -5.19% ROI)
  • 31-31 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 31-31 against the Under for game total points (-3.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 100 games (-38.63 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-24.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 51 of their last 97 games (-22.36 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 97 games (-21.55 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 99 games (-21.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 75 games (-27.17 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 74 games (-24.32 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 66 games (-22.90 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-20.98 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 39 away games (-19.10 Units / -33% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 5-17 (.227) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets has shot 40% from three (685/1,733) this season — best among NBA teams.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 46-22 (.676) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Denver Nuggets have averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (1,935 turnovers/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Cavaliers are 1-20 (.048) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .157

The Cavaliers are 28-20 (.583) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .496

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Boston Celtics are 64-16 (.800) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-best among NBA teams. The Indiana Pacers have averaged 43.1 rebounds per game (5,948 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th-lowest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 25-5 (.833) when winning the rebounding margin this season — third-best among NBA teams. The Indiana Pacers have averaged 42.0 rebounds per game (2,352 rebounds/56 games) this season — eighth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 16-4 (.800) when they win the turnover margin this season — second-best among NBA teams. The Indiana Pacers have averaged 14.4 turnovers per game (809 turnovers/56 games) this season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 42-17 (.712) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-best among NBA teams. The Indiana Pacers have averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (1,926 turnovers/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fourth-highest among NBA teams.

Injury Report: Celtics vs. CavaliersWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 1

  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): Gallinari is hoping to return and play at the end of the season, according to Adam Himmelsbach of The Boston Globe.
  • Mike Muscala (Celtics): Muscala is questionable for Wednesday’s (Mar 1) game against Cleveland.
  • Cleveland Cavaliers – No Injuries Reported

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers shot 34% from three (714/2,125) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Cavaliers have averaged 111.8 points per game (6,373 points/57 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Cavaliers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,412 assists/ 1,426 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 15.6 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics have an eFG% of 56% this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Celtics have made 857 three-pointers this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Celtics have averaged 1.30 points per shot (15,620 points/12,001 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (459 blocks/106 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (452 blocks/105 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (295 blocks/70 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (592 blocks/139 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 6.2 steals per game (341 steals/55 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Celtics have averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,952 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Celtics have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (399 blocks/68 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Celtics have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (590 blocks/104 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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