Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 8

  • The Cavaliers are -3.5 favorites vs. the Heat
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDOH | SUN

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Miami, FL.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Cavaliers vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 18-6 against the spread, while the Heat are 10-11 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers O
Miami Heat U

Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Sunday‘s game with 79.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Heat.

Heat vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.2% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 58 games (+18.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 28 games (+17.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 48 away games (+15.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 26 games (+13.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 80 games (+15.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 48 games (+13.77 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+11.22 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.06 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 81 games (+10.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 18-6 (+11.4 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 21-3 against the Moneyline (+14.35 Units / 14.43% ROI)
  • 15-9 against the Over for game total points (+5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI)
  • 9-15 against the Under for game total points (-7.5 Units / -28.41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 10-11 (-2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI).

  • 11-10 against the Moneyline (+0.1 Units / 0.27% ROI)
  • 12-9 against the Over for game total points (+2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI)
  • 9-12 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 80 games (-26.78 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-22.10 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-20.40 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 71 games (-20.30 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 89 games (-17.50 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 58 games (-26.45 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 74 games (-25.60 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 97 games (-24.95 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 77 games (-22.30 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 83 games (-18.88 Units / -15% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Cavaliers are 7-1 (.875) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Cavaliers are 6-1 (.857) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

The Cavaliers are 19-3 (.864) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

The Cavaliers are 43-11 (.796) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Heat have averaged 50.2 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-lowest in the NBA.

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Heat are undefeated (9-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .900

The Heat are 7-2 (.778) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Cavaliers have averaged 50.4 rebounds/game this season — 6th-lowest in the NBA.

The Heat are 4-2 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Heat were 28-14 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 60% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 61% at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 56% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers are shooting 40% from three (372/922) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 53.0 points per game (9,696 points/183 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4

The Heat are shooting 40% from three (168/420) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 9.0 steals per game (216 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (871 rebounds/24 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (253 blocks/55 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.3

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (288 blocks/90 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (590 blocks/183 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (174 blocks/51 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.3


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