Cavaliers vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 3

  • The Cavaliers are -6.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDOH | KFAA

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Cavaliers vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 24-9 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 18-15 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers O
Dallas Mavericks U

Mavericks vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 66.7% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 37 games (+24.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 65 games (+16.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 67 games (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 33 games (+16.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 35 games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 50 games at home (+21.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 54 of their last 89 games (+17.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games at home (+17.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 75 games (+16.83 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games at home (+14.45 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 24-9 (+14.1 Units / 38.84% ROI).

  • 29-4 against the Moneyline (+20.95 Units / 14.46% ROI)
  • 22-11 against the Over for game total points (+9.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 11-22 against the Under for game total points (-13.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 18-15 (+1.5 Units / 4.01% ROI).

  • 20-14 against the Moneyline (+0.4 Units / 0.44% ROI)
  • 17-17 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 17-17 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 100 games (-33.62 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 37 games at home (-30.10 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 99 games (-24.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 35 of their last 84 games (-20.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 99 games (-20.15 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 67 games (-26.00 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-25.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 65 games (-23.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 90 games (-23.15 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-20.85 Units / -21% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Cavaliers are 8-1 (.889) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Cavaliers are 14-1 (.933) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Cavaliers are 28-3 (.903) when scoring 110 or more points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .657

The Cavaliers are 16-1 (.941) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .581

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Mavericks are 4-2 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 15-9 (.625) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .537

The Mavericks are 11-6 (.647) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Mavericks are 40-20 (.667) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 59% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers are shooting 41% from three (541/1,329) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers are shooting 41% from three (307/740) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 56% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks had an eFG% of 56% last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Mavericks have 23.6 free throw attempts per game this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

The Mavericks averaged 15.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,263 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (534 blocks/115 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,197 rebounds/33 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (262 blocks/59 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.3

The Cavaliers have 299 steals this season — 8th most among NBA teams

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (205 blocks/34 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,233 rebounds/34 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5


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