Cavaliers vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 16

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Cavaliers vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 27-12 against the spread, while the Thunder are 25-12 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Thunder.

Thunder vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 59.4% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 43 games (+25.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 39 games (+21.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 71 games (+18.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 41 games (+15.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 39 of their last 61 games (+14.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 85 games (+23.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 35 of their last 54 games (+17.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 92 games (+8.55 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 27-12 (+13.8 Units / 32.17% ROI).

  • 34-5 against the Moneyline (+21.95 Units / 12.31% ROI)
  • 26-13 against the Over for game total points (+11.7 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 13-26 against the Under for game total points (-15.6 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 25-12 (+11.8 Units / 26.82% ROI).

  • 33-7 against the Moneyline (+15.75 Units / 8.68% ROI)
  • 19-20 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -6.82% ROI)
  • 20-19 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -2.05% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 92 games (-21.43 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 93 games (-18.20 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games at home (-16.75 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 75 games (-15.50 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 84 games (-14.38 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 89 games (-29.85 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 95 games (-26.80 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 71 games (-25.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 74 games (-25.18 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 76 games (-24.67 Units / -28% ROI)

Jump to:

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Cavaliers are 11-1 (.917) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Cavaliers are 32-5 (.865) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .501

The Cavaliers are 16-1 (.941) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Cavaliers are undefeated (10-0) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Thunder are 11-2 (.846) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The Thunder are undefeated (5-0) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Thunder are 14-3 (.824) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (489 assists/ 203 TOs) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 59% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (1,136 assists/ 509 TOs) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 60% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (474 turnovers/39 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.7

The Thunder had a TS% of 54% last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (6,558 rebounds/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (182 blocks/39 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (277 blocks/63 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 11.6 steals per game (451 steals/39 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 42% (728/1,726) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 47% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,145 steals/121 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8


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