Cavaliers vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 30

  • The Cavaliers are -4.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDOH | NSBA

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers vs Warriors Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 22-9 against the spread, while the Warriors are 16-15 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers-3.5 -110O 232.5 -110-160
Golden State Warriors +3.5 -110U 232.5 -110+135

Warriors vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Monday‘s game with 72.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Warriors.

Warriors vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 35 games (+22.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 63 games (+16.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 65 games (+16.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 47 games (+16.08 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 53 games (+15.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games (+14.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 82 games (+13.23 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 74 games (+9.92 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 22-9 (+12.1 Units / 35.48% ROI).

  • 27-4 against the Moneyline (+18.95 Units / 13.4% ROI)
  • 21-10 against the Over for game total points (+10 Units / 29.33% ROI)
  • 10-21 against the Under for game total points (-13.1 Units / -38.42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 16-15 (-0.6 Units / -1.75% ROI).

  • 16-15 against the Moneyline (-8.9 Units / -14.1% ROI)
  • 13-18 against the Over for game total points (-6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI)
  • 18-13 against the Under for game total points (+3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games at home (-25.85 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 71 games (-21.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 83 games (-20.15 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 56 games (-18.71 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 81 games (-27.15 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 65 games (-25.85 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 88 games (-25.15 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 63 games (-23.10 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 53 games (-22.82 Units / -38% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Cavaliers are 8-1 (.889) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Cavaliers are 12-1 (.923) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Cavaliers are 25-4 (.862) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

The Cavaliers are 74-18 (.804) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .635

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Warriors are undefeated (7-0) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Warriors are 19-8 (.704) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .437

The Warriors were 7-3 (.700) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Warriors are 35-7 (.833) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .691

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 56% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (896 assists/ 408 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 60% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers are shooting 51% (721/1,402) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors are shooting 71% from the free throw line (458/645) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Warriors are shooting 41% (182/443) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Warriors have a 22% free throw rate (3,800 free throw attempts/17,027 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (140 blocks/31 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (882 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 9.2 steals per game (284 steals/31 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Cavaliers averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,139 rebounds/31 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (542 blocks/113 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Warriors have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (820 blocks/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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