Celtics vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 09, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -2.5 favorites vs. the Bucks
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Boston Celtics visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Celtics vs Bucks Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 40-34 against the spread, while the Bucks are 33-44 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics+2.5 -110O 228.5 -115+115
Milwaukee Bucks -2.5 -110U 228.5 -105-140

Bucks vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Tuesday‘s game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Bucks.

Bucks vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 61.8% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 41 away games (+28.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 56 of their last 81 games (+27.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 71 games (+24.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 59 games (+16.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 81 games (+15.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+11.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+9.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 40-34 (+2.6 Units / 3.03% ROI).

  • 62-16 against the Moneyline (+8.45 Units / 2.02% ROI)
  • 40-37 against the Over for game total points (-0.65 Units / -0.76% ROI)
  • 37-40 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units / -8.15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 33-44 (-15.4 Units / -17.97% ROI).

  • 47-31 against the Moneyline (-42.25 Units / -14.84% ROI)
  • 39-39 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 39-39 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 84 games (-58.45 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 84 games (-28.35 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 84 games (-24.25 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 43 games at home (-22.90 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 34 of their last 84 games (-19.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 99 games (-36.65 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 99 games (-24.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 41 of their last 98 games (-22.95 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 99 games (-22.55 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 54 of their last 98 games (-18.90 Units / -10% ROI)

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Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Celtics are 39-8 (.830) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Celtics are 22-3 (.880) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Celtics are 54-14 (.794) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Celtics are 34-1 (.971) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .792

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 51-21 (.708) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Bucks are 32-3 (.914) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .792

Injury Report: Bucks vs. CelticsTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 9

  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
  • Boston Celtics – No Injuries Reported

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have a TS% of 55% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have 24.4 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Bucks averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (1,199 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Bucks have averaged 15.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,181 rebounds/78 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,973 rebounds/78 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,515 points/7,156 shots) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.29

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (17,651 points/14,550 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.29

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.4 defensive rebounds per game (6,151 rebounds/160 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.