Celtics vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 25

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ABC | ESPN+

The Boston Celtics visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:30pm EST in Dallas, TX, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Celtics vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 17-27 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 22-22 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics O
Dallas Mavericks U

Mavericks vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Celtics and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Celtics Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 69.7% confidence.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 43 away games (+17.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 69 of their last 94 games (+16.32 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 99 games (+15.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 31 away games (+14.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games (+12.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 53 of their last 86 games (+18.28 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 46 games at home (+17.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+15.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+14.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 58 of their last 100 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 17-27 (-12.7 Units / -25.66% ROI).

  • 31-14 against the Moneyline (-38.1 Units / -13.88% ROI)
  • 19-26 against the Over for game total points (-9.6 Units / -19.39% ROI)
  • 26-19 against the Under for game total points (+5.1 Units / 10.3% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 22-22 (-2.2 Units / -4.44% ROI).

  • 24-21 against the Moneyline (+1.7 Units / 1.62% ROI)
  • 22-23 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -6.67% ROI)
  • 23-22 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -2.42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 44 games at home (-33.70 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-29.37 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 40 of their last 95 games (-22.40 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 100 games (-21.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 45 games at home (-20.57 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 75 games (-52.70 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 81 games (-47.39 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 99 games (-29.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 81 games (-29.30 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-24.40 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Celtics were 34-8 (.810) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Celtics are 20-5 (.800) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Celtics were 55-16 (.775) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Celtics are 54-18 (.750) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Mavericks are winless (0-9) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .182

The Mavericks were 17-1 (.944) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The Mavericks were 20-10 (.667) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 15-7 (.682) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .613

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics made 16.5 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 17.8 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Celtics have made 17.6 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Celtics have made 16.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have averaged 14.8 second chance points per game (667 points/45 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Mavericks are shooting 48% (1,888/3,951) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Mavericks have an eFG% of 55% this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (8,957 points/7,515 shots) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

The Celtics averaged 37.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,109 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (4,523 points/3,879 shots) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.26

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,577 rebounds/127 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Mavericks have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (260 blocks/45 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (945 steals/127 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8


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