Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 07, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics (27-12) are -12.5 favorites vs. the Spurs (13-26)
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Saturday, January 7, 2023 at 6:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on KENS & NBCS-BOS

The Boston Celtics visit AT&T Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in San Antonio.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-115).

The Celtics vs Spurs Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 21-17 against the spread, while the Spurs are 18-21 against the spread.


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Celtics vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Boston Celtics-14.5 -115O 234.5 -110-1200
San Antonio Spurs +14.5 -105U 234.5 -110+750

Spurs vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Saturday‘s game with 72.5% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 62.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Celtics and Spurs, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 48 away games (+17.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 48 away games (+17.18 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 81 games (+16.61 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.47 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 48 away games (+14.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+13.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 51 games (+10.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+10.64 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 21-17 (+2.3 Units / 5.37% ROI).

  • 27-12 against the Moneyline (-13.2 Units / -10.3% ROI)
  • 20-19 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -2.1% ROI)
  • 19-20 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -6.99% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 18-21 (-5.1 Units / -11.89% ROI).

  • 13-26 against the Moneyline (+4.4 Units / 11.1% ROI)
  • 22-16 against the Over for game total points (+4.4 Units / 10.26% ROI)
  • 16-22 against the Under for game total points (-8.2 Units / -19.11% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 29 of their last 83 games (-24.97 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 83 games (-23.44 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 84 games (-22.14 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 68 games (-19.95 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 64 games (-16.93 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 100 games (-30.25 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 79 games (-23.76 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (-23.30 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 76 games (-20.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 37 of their last 74 games (-20.00 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Celtics are 20-10 (.667) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Celtics are 21-11 (.656) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Celtics are 40-7 (.851) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767

The Celtics are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The San Antonio Spurs are 10-42 (.192) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors have averaged 44.9 rebounds per game (4,263 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Spurs are 3-33 (.083) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .256

The Spurs are 9-33 (.214) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Spurs are 5-20 (.200) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .312

Injury Report: Spurs vs. CelticsSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 7

  • Devin Vassell (Spurs): The Spurs announced that Vassell is out indefinitely as he recovers from left knee surgery.
  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 1.38 points per shot (1,554 points/1,124 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have averaged 1.42 points per shot (812 points/570 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (342 assists/ 159 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Celtics have a TS% of 57% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,185 assists/ 964 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Spurs have averaged 28.6 assists per game (1,314 assists/46 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Spurs have averaged 52.9 points in the paint per game (5,026 points/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.2

The Spurs have averaged 16.9 turnovers per game (220 turnovers/13 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (283 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Celtics have averaged 5.3 steals per game (69 steals/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Celtics have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (71 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have averaged 6.7 steals per game (562 steals/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (465 blocks/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Spurs have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (831 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Spurs have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (220 blocks/46 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Spurs have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (430 blocks/85 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.