Grizzlies vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 2

  • The Bucks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 245.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | FDSM | FDWI

The Memphis Grizzlies visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Milwaukee, WI, WI, USA.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Grizzlies vs Bucks Over/Under is 246.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 31-17 against the spread, while the Bucks are 22-24 against the spread.


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Grizzlies vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Memphis Grizzlies+2.5 -105O 246.5 -105+125
Milwaukee Bucks -2.5 -115U 246.5 -115-150

Bucks vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Sunday‘s game with 64.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Grizzlies and Bucks.

Bucks vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 63 games (+19.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 38 away games (+17.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 games (+16.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 47 of their last 79 games (+14.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 64 games (+8.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+8.22 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games at home (+8.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 86 games (+6.90 Units / 7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 31-17 (+12.3 Units / 23.34% ROI).

  • 32-16 against the Moneyline (+9.35 Units / 8.79% ROI)
  • 31-17 against the Over for game total points (+12.3 Units / 23.3% ROI)
  • 17-31 against the Under for game total points (-17.1 Units / -32.39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 22-24 (-4.4 Units / -8.51% ROI).

  • 27-20 against the Moneyline (-14.7 Units / -11.95% ROI)
  • 24-23 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -2.51% ROI)
  • 23-24 against the Under for game total points (-3.4 Units / -6.58% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 86 games (-55.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 86 games (-27.30 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 85 games (-24.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 86 games (-19.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 48 games (-17.68 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 63 games (-29.22 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 81 games (-24.00 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-17.55 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-17.45 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 64 games (-17.15 Units / -23% ROI)

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Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Grizzlies are 8-34 (.190) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-best in the NBA.

The Grizzlies are 20-2 (.909) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-2nd-best in the NBA. The Bucks have allowed 14.0 made three-pointers per game this season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Bucks are 27-22 (.551) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

The Bucks are 52-12 (.812) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Bucks are 1-5 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .251

The Bucks are 9-1 (.900) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies are shooting 26% from three (42/159) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies averaged 1.18 points per shot (4,262 points/3,600 shots) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 20.5 points in the paint per game (944 points/46 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.9

The Bucks are shooting 39% from three (649/1,684) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks are shooting 74% from the free throw line (754/1,025) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (559 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies have allowed 19.7 offensive rebounds per game (946 rebounds/48 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.0

The Grizzlies averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (439 steals/48 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,738 rebounds/46 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 7.3 steals per game (335 steals/46 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3


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