- The Heat are -9.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
- Total (Over/Under): 212.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | BSSM
The Memphis Grizzlies visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).
The Grizzlies vs Heat Over/Under is 213.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Grizzlies are 18-25 against the spread, while the Heat are 20-23 against the spread.
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Grizzlies vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Memphis Grizzlies | +10.5 -105 | O 213.5 -105 | +425 |
Miami Heat | -10.5 -115 | U 213.5 -115 | -600 |
Heat vs Grizzlies Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 84.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Grizzlies and Heat, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.
Heat vs Grizzlies Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.
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Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+18.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+17.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 away games (+14.25 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+11.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games (+11.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 73 games (+25.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 76 games (+18.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 67 games (+18.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 78 games (+15.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 16 games at home (+13.80 Units / 77% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 18-25 (-9.55 Units / -20.15% ROI).
- 16-27 against the Moneyline (-0.6 Units / -1.15% ROI)
- 18-25 against the Over for game total points (-9.5 Units / -20.08% ROI)
- 25-18 against the Under for game total points (+5.2 Units / 10.99% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 20-23 (-5.25 Units / -11.1% ROI).
- 24-19 against the Moneyline (+3.65 Units / 5.46% ROI)
- 18-25 against the Over for game total points (-9.5 Units / -20.08% ROI)
- 25-18 against the Under for game total points (+5.2 Units / 10.99% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 92 games (-21.00 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 89 games (-20.85 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 75 games (-19.70 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 3Q Spread in 42 of their last 100 games (-19.60 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 46 games (-19.25 Units / -37% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-29.55 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-27.40 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 83 games (-26.45 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 83 games (-26.15 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.05 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Memphis Grizzlies vs. Miami Heat
- Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Grizzlies are winless (0-13) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .218
The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Grizzlies are 2-13 (.133) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Heat have shot 38% from three this season — T-6th-best in the NBA.
The Grizzlies were 40-15 (.727) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Heat are 14-6 (.700) when they win the turnover margin this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have averaged 14.6 turnovers per game this season — T-6th-highest in the NBA.
The Heat were 19-9 (.679) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531
The Heat were 10-1 (.909) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729
The Heat were 11-7 (.611) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
Injury Report: Heat vs. Grizzlies – Wednesday‘s Game, Jan. 24
- Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): Ankle, Game Time Decision
- R.J. Hampton (Miami Heat): Knee, Out
- Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
- Bam Adebayo (Miami Heat): Hip, Game Time Decision
- Haywood Highsmith (Miami Heat): Back, Game Time Decision
- Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Suspension, Out
- Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
- Steven Adams (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out For Season
- Jake LaRavia (Memphis Grizzlies): Eye, Out
- Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Foot, Out
- Luke Kennard (Memphis Grizzlies): Knee, Out
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (723/1,684) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Grizzlies have averaged 1.21 points per shot (4,637 points/3,822 shots) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Heat have averaged 53.7 points per game (2,308 points/43 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.3
The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies averaged 5.8 blocks per game (473 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Grizzlies have averaged 8.5 steals per game (508 steals/60 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Grizzlies have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (742 blocks/125 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Grizzlies allowed opponents to shoot 45% (3,340/7,365) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (140 blocks/43 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (383 blocks/125 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,735 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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