- The Hawks are -5.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
- Watch the game on BSSE | SUN
The Atlanta Hawks visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami, FL.
The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Hawks vs Heat Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 1-1 against the spread, while the Heat are 0-3 against the spread.
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Hawks vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Atlanta Hawks | -5.5 -110 | O 224.5 -115 | -210 |
Miami Heat | +5.5 -110 | U 224.5 -105 | +170 |
Heat vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Wednesday‘s game with 55% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Heat.
Heat vs Hawks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54% confidence.
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Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games (+17.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 82 games (+16.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games (+10.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+12.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 88 games (+12.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+11.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Hawks have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 1-1 against the Moneyline (-0.2 Units / -9.09% ROI)
- 1-1 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 1-1 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Heat have gone 0-3 (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- 2-1 against the Moneyline (+1 Units / 23.53% ROI)
- 2-1 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
- 1-2 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 59 games (-24.15 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 58 games (-19.90 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 60 games (-19.45 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 61 games (-18.80 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-17.95 Units / -39% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
- The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 83 games (-30.40 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 82 games (-29.15 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 77 games (-28.50 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 51 games (-24.90 Units / -43% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 74 games (-23.20 Units / -27% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Hawks were 8-1 (.889) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700
The Hawks were 5-21 (.192) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297
The Hawks were 13-21 (.382) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Hawks were 10-28 (.263) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Heat were 16-4 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Heat were 2-6 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
The Heat were 34-10 (.773) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
The Heat were 12-8 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
Injury Report: Heat vs. Hawks – Wednesday‘s Game, Oct. 16
- Miami Heat – No Injuries Reported
- Atlanta Hawks – No Injuries Reported
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks averaged 18.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,492 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2
The Hawks had 23.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Hawks averaged 118.4 points per game (9,711 points/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Hawks shot 82% from the free throw line (1,513/1,850) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Heat are shooting 84% from the free throw line (1,550/1,844) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Hawks averaged 4.5 blocks per game (369 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (265 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (523 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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