Hawks vs Knicks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Knicks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
  • Watch the game on MSG | BSSE

The Atlanta Hawks visit Madison Square Garden to take on the New York Knicks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in New York, NY.

The Knicks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Hawks vs Knicks Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Hawks are 19-41 against the spread, while the Knicks are 31-28 against the spread.


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Hawks vs. Knicks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Atlanta Hawks+2.5 -105O 214.5 -105+125
New York Knicks -2.5 -115U 214.5 -115-150

Knicks vs Hawks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Knicks will win Tuesday‘s game with 60.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Hawks and Knicks.

Knicks vs Hawks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 85 games (+11.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games (+9.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 85 games (+7.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 72 games (+21.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 36 games (+19.20 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+15.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+14.70 Units / 48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 19-41 (-26 Units / -39.48% ROI).

  • 26-34 against the Moneyline (-18.4 Units / -18.79% ROI)
  • 31-27 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 1.97% ROI)
  • 27-31 against the Under for game total points (-7.1 Units / -10.76% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 31-28 (+0.3 Units / 0.45% ROI).

  • 36-25 against the Moneyline (+7.7 Units / 5.64% ROI)
  • 23-38 against the Over for game total points (-18.8 Units / -28.02% ROI)
  • 38-23 against the Under for game total points (+12.7 Units / 18.93% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 72 games (-27.70 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 88 games (-25.40 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 74 games (-22.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.00 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 43 games at home (-17.95 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 75 games (-32.00 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 75 games (-26.10 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 16 of their last 54 games (-25.30 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 82 games (-22.55 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 85 games (-22.55 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks were 3-15 (.167) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Hawks were 18-27 (.400) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Hawks are 7-17 (.292) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .325

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Knicks are 6-13 (.316) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Hawks have made 13.5 three-pointers per game this season — 8th-highest in the NBA.

The Knicks are 29-10 (.744) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed 122.7 points per game this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Knicks are 10-3 (.769) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Knicks are winless (0-12) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .254

Injury Report: Knicks vs. HawksTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 5

  • OG Anunoby (New York Knicks): Elbow, Out
  • Duane Washington Jr. (New York Knicks): Thumb, Game Time Decision
  • Julius Randle (New York Knicks): Shoulder, Out
  • Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks): Ankle, Out
  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Hawks made 10.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Hawks averaged 118.4 points per game (9,711 points/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Hawks have averaged 18.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,001 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.5

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (1,136 points/136 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Knicks have averaged 23.8 assists per game (1,286 assists/54 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Knicks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (640 assists/ 379 TOs) on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Knicks have averaged 19.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,029 rebounds/54 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.5

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,833 rebounds/54 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hawks have 412 steals this season — tied for 10th most among NBA teams

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (382/916) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Hawks have allowed 123.9 points per game (6,692 points/54 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.5

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks averaged 6.4 steals per game (527 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Knicks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (213 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Knicks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (921 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Knicks averaged 4.1 blocks per game (340 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.