- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max
The Miami Heat visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Heat vs Hawks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 40-42 against the spread, while the Hawks are 41-41 against the spread.
Bet now on Hawks vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Heat vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | O | ||
| Atlanta Hawks | U |
Hawks vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Hawks.
Hawks vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
Bet now on Hawks vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+22.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 54 games (+20.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 27 away games (+18.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 49 games (+15.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+14.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 36 games (+21.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 48 of their last 78 games (+15.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 75 games (+14.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 79 games (+14.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 46 games (+13.22 Units / 23% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 40-42 (-6.2 Units / -6.79% ROI).
- 38-45 against the Moneyline (-15.45 Units / -10.06% ROI)
- 44-39 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 1.2% ROI)
- 39-44 against the Under for game total points (-9.4 Units / -10.3% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 41-41 (-4.1 Units / -4.49% ROI).
- 40-43 against the Moneyline (+9.45 Units / 6.72% ROI)
- 49-33 against the Over for game total points (+12.7 Units / 13.91% ROI)
- 33-49 against the Under for game total points (-20.9 Units / -22.89% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 82 games (-27.35 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-25.80 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 83 games (-20.90 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.18 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 82 games (-15.92 Units / -16% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 86 games (-27.45 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 85 games (-26.08 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 75 games (-21.23 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 52 games (-18.80 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 62 games (-18.27 Units / -24% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Heat are 37-4 (.902) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .820
The Heat are 15-4 (.789) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706
The Heat were 16-4 (.800) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Heat are 10-1 (.909) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .762
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Hawks are undefeated (8-0) when allowing fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .910
The Hawks are 28-36 (.438) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552
The Hawks are 43-42 (.506) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Hawks were 19-25 (.432) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat are shooting 43% (436/1,016) in close and late situations this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Heat have averaged 11.7 second chance points per game (1,925 points/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Heat have averaged 53.4 points per game (8,759 points/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 5.3 assists per game (336 assists/63 games) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.2
The Hawks have averaged 55.1 points in the paint per game (4,520 points/82 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Hawks have averaged 17.1 fast break points per game (1,401 points/82 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
The Hawks had 23.2 free throw attempts per game last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (292 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (314 blocks/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (594 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Hawks allowed 8.5 fast break points per game (694 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 6.8
The Hawks have averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,868 rebounds/82 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Bet now on Hawks vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
