- The Magic are -2.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 208.5 points
- Watch the game on FDFL | SUN
The Miami Heat visit Kia Center to take on the Orlando Magic on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Orlando, FL.
The Magic are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Heat vs Magic Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 12-15 against the spread, while the Magic are 18-11 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Magic Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | +1.5 -115 | O 208.5 -110 | -105 |
| Orlando Magic | -1.5 -105 | U 208.5 -110 | -115 |
Magic vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Thursday‘s game with 62.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Magic.
Magic vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 53.1% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 86 games (+19.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 54 games (+15.42 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 away games (+11.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.56 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.07 Units / 26% ROI)
Magic Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 43 games at home (+25.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 58 of their last 88 games (+24.68 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 37 games at home (+19.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 26 games (+14.81 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+12.18 Units / 12% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 12-15 (-4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).
- 14-13 against the Moneyline (-0.5 Units / -0.99% ROI)
- 15-12 against the Over for game total points (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI)
- 12-15 against the Under for game total points (-4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI)
Orlando Magic Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 18-11 (+5.85 Units / 17.16% ROI).
- 19-12 against the Moneyline (+8.45 Units / 13.44% ROI)
- 14-17 against the Over for game total points (-4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI)
- 17-14 against the Under for game total points (+1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Magic:
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 91 games (-29.10 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 92 games (-28.87 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 91 games (-25.00 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only covered the 1Q Spread in 38 of their last 92 games (-23.12 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Orlando Magic have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 91 games (-22.13 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 86 games (-31.53 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 77 games (-22.90 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 85 games (-19.75 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 86 games (-19.20 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 77 games (-18.75 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Orlando Magic
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Orlando Magic
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Orlando Magic Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Orlando Magic Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic
The Heat are 9-4 (.692) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Magic have averaged 51.2 rebounds/game this season — T-9th-lowest in the NBA.
The Heat are 9-4 (.692) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .598
The Heat were 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789
The Heat are 7-5 (.583) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443
Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Magic are 17-7 (.708) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
The Magic are 11-1 (.917) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .699
The Magic are 30-13 (.698) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
The Magic were 9-1 (.900) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (488 points/41 games) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Heat are shooting 37% from three (393/1,050) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends
The Magic are shooting 31% from three (357/1,149) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Magic have a 29% free throw rate (1,414 free throw attempts/4,932 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%
The Magic have 24.2 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8
The Magic had 24.4 free throw attempts per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (373 blocks/109 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (187 blocks/55 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.3
Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends
The Magic have allowed 3.6 second chance points per game (111 points/31 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.0
The Magic have allowed 10.4 second chance points per game (321 points/31 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.7
The Magic have allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.5
The Magic have allowed 47.9 points per game (1,485 points/31 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 56.0
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