- The Nuggets are -3.5 favorites vs. the Heat
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | ALT
The Miami Heat visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Heat vs Nuggets Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 3-4 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 3-5 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Miami Heat | +2.5 -105 | O 221.5 -110 | +120 |
| Denver Nuggets | -2.5 -115 | U 221.5 -110 | -145 |
Nuggets vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the will win Friday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 away games (+21.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+13.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+13.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 34 games (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 86 games (+11.40 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+9.08 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+8.58 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 48 games at home (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 3-4 (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- 3-4 against the Moneyline (-1.5 Units / -10.2% ROI)
- 3-4 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)
- 4-3 against the Under for game total points (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 3-5 (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- 5-3 against the Moneyline (+0.85 Units / 3.69% ROI)
- 6-2 against the Over for game total points (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI)
- 2-6 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 73 games (-29.80 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 92 games (-19.00 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 94 games (-17.73 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 94 games (-16.60 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 23 games (-16.55 Units / -43% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 65 games (-21.50 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 66 games (-21.45 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 67 games (-20.95 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 68 games (-20.20 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 87 games (-18.15 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Heat were 2-6 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
The Heat are 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788
The Heat are 2-7 (.222) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
The Heat are undefeated (7-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .895
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Nuggets are 28-7 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .583
The Nuggets are 45-14 (.763) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Heat have averaged 50.1 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-lowest in the NBA.
The Nuggets are 58-24 (.707) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
Injury Report: Nuggets vs. Heat – Friday‘s Game, Nov. 8
- Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported
- Miami Heat – No Injuries Reported
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4
The Heat have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (99 assists/ 37 TOs) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Heat are shooting 41% (125/304) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,642 assists/ 1,173 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (277 blocks/85 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (555 blocks/171 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (312 blocks/89 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 7.3 steals per game (660 steals/90 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nuggets have blocked 497 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th most among NBA teams
The Nuggets have 75 steals this season — tied for 6th most among NBA teams
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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