- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on SUN | MNMT | MMT2
The Miami Heat visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Heat vs Wizards Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 35-38 against the spread, while the Wizards are 30-42 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Miami Heat | O | ||
Washington Wizards | U |
Wizards vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Wizards.
Wizards vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+18.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 away games (+14.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 22 away games (+13.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Wizards Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 games (+10.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 27 games (+9.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+7.15 Units / 8% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 35-38 (-6.8 Units / -8.35% ROI).
- 33-41 against the Moneyline (-16.65 Units / -13.4% ROI)
- 38-36 against the Over for game total points (-1.6 Units / -1.97% ROI)
- 36-38 against the Under for game total points (-5.8 Units / -7.13% ROI)
Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 30-42 (-16.15 Units / -19.85% ROI).
- 16-58 against the Moneyline (-17.3 Units / -22.85% ROI)
- 40-34 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 3.2% ROI)
- 34-40 against the Under for game total points (-10.05 Units / -12.34% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Wizards:
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 77 games (-27.59 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 79 games (-21.85 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 61 games (-19.87 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-18.67 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 79 games (-18.45 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 53 games (-22.42 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 66 games (-21.73 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 43 games (-20.00 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 36 games (-19.20 Units / -46% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 70 games (-18.50 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Washington Wizards
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Washington Wizards Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Washington Wizards Defensive stats
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards
The Heat are 7-18 (.280) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .438
The Heat are 14-4 (.778) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .705
The Heat are 7-15 (.318) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432
The Heat are 22-53 (.293) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .341
Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
The Wizards are 14-82 (.146) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
The Wizards are 12-60 (.167) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453
The Wizards are 13-43 (.232) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 53.0 points per game (8,265 points/156 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat have averaged 11.6 second chance points per game (1,810 points/156 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Wizards are shooting 32% from three (461/1,423) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Wizards shot 34% from three (473/1,396) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Wizards have averaged 1.21 points per shot (3,970 points/3,273 shots) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (561 blocks/156 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (271 blocks/78 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (281 blocks/74 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Wizards have allowed 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,423 rebounds/156 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0
The Wizards allowed 58.3 points in the paint per game (4,778 points/82 games) last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3
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