Heat vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 31

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on SUN | MNMT | MMT2

The Miami Heat visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Heat vs Wizards Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Heat are 35-38 against the spread, while the Wizards are 30-42 against the spread.


Bet now on Wizards vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM


Heat vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Miami Heat O
Washington Wizards U

Wizards vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Wizards.

Wizards vs Heat Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


Bet now on Wizards vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+18.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 away games (+14.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 22 away games (+13.40 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 games (+10.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 27 games (+9.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+7.15 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 35-38 (-6.8 Units / -8.35% ROI).

  • 33-41 against the Moneyline (-16.65 Units / -13.4% ROI)
  • 38-36 against the Over for game total points (-1.6 Units / -1.97% ROI)
  • 36-38 against the Under for game total points (-5.8 Units / -7.13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 30-42 (-16.15 Units / -19.85% ROI).

  • 16-58 against the Moneyline (-17.3 Units / -22.85% ROI)
  • 40-34 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 3.2% ROI)
  • 34-40 against the Under for game total points (-10.05 Units / -12.34% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 77 games (-27.59 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 79 games (-21.85 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 61 games (-19.87 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-18.67 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 79 games (-18.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 53 games (-22.42 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 66 games (-21.73 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 43 games (-20.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 36 games (-19.20 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 70 games (-18.50 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Heat are 7-18 (.280) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

The Heat are 14-4 (.778) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .705

The Heat are 7-15 (.318) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Heat are 22-53 (.293) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .341

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Wizards are 14-82 (.146) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Wizards are 12-60 (.167) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Wizards are 13-43 (.232) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 53.0 points per game (8,265 points/156 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Heat have averaged 11.6 second chance points per game (1,810 points/156 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards are shooting 32% from three (461/1,423) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards shot 34% from three (473/1,396) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards have averaged 1.21 points per shot (3,970 points/3,273 shots) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (561 blocks/156 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (271 blocks/78 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (281 blocks/74 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have allowed 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,423 rebounds/156 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0

The Wizards allowed 58.3 points in the paint per game (4,778 points/82 games) last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3


Bet now on Wizards vs Heat and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

Split First Bet Offer FBO March Matchups 1080x610
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.