Jazz vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 31, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Kings are -12.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | NSCA

The Utah Jazz visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Jazz vs Kings Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 38-36 against the spread, while the Kings are 36-36 against the spread.


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Jazz vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz+12.5 -115O 220.5 -105+600
Sacramento Kings -12.5 -105U 220.5 -115-900

Kings vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Sunday‘s game with 91.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Kings.

Kings vs Jazz Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.


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  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+6.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 51 games (+5.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 games (+11.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+7.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 38-36 (-1.55 Units / -1.91% ROI).

  • 29-45 against the Moneyline (-12.1 Units / -12.57% ROI)
  • 39-33 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 3.32% ROI)
  • 33-39 against the Under for game total points (-9.9 Units / -12.16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 36-36 (-3.55 Units / -4.42% ROI).

  • 42-31 against the Moneyline (-22.8 Units / -13.42% ROI)
  • 33-38 against the Over for game total points (-8.8 Units / -10.96% ROI)
  • 38-33 against the Under for game total points (+1.7 Units / 2.12% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 85 games (-39.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 37 games at home (-20.70 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 63 games (-20.60 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 71 games (-18.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-14.60 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 32 games (-23.55 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-22.85 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 80 games (-21.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 79 games (-17.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 75 games (-17.30 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Jazz were 1-9 (.100) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Jazz are 18-37 (.327) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Jazz are winless (0-4) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .405

The Jazz were 7-3 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings are 28-9 (.757) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Kings are 14-18 (.438) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Kings are 27-2 (.931) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .797

Injury Report: Kings vs. JazzSunday‘s Game, Mar. 31

  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Otto Porter Jr. (Utah Jazz): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 7.9 turnovers per game (587 turnovers/74 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz averaged 58.8 points per game (4,823 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Jazz have averaged 8.7 second chance points per game (642 points/74 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Jazz have averaged 8.1 second chance points per game (1,259 points/156 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings are shooting 74% from the free throw line (1,143/1,534) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 18.6 fast break points per game (1,380 points/74 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4

The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (580/1,405) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Jazz have averaged 6.5 steals per game (483 steals/74 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Jazz averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,978 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (301 blocks/73 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Kings have allowed 11.0 second chance points per game (800 points/73 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (290 blocks/78 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.