Jazz vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 04, 2024, 12:01 AM
  • The Thunder are -13.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | FDOK

The Utah Jazz visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Jazz vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 9-11 against the spread, while the Thunder are 11-9 against the spread.


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Jazz vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Tuesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Thunder.

Thunder vs Jazz Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 67.2% confidence.


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  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 away games (+14.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 12 away games (+9.80 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+8.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+8.64 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 away games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 46 games at home (+22.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+15.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 52 of their last 90 games (+13.64 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+9.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 72 games (+7.85 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 9-11 (-3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI).

  • 4-16 against the Moneyline (-5.95 Units / -29.75% ROI)
  • 8-12 against the Over for game total points (-5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • 12-8 against the Under for game total points (+3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 11-9 (+1.1 Units / 5% ROI).

  • 15-5 against the Moneyline (+0.9 Units / 1.14% ROI)
  • 9-11 against the Over for game total points (-3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI)
  • 11-9 against the Under for game total points (+1.1 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 88 games (-21.05 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 72 games (-17.83 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 90 games (-17.65 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 88 games (-17.35 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 76 games (-14.55 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 82 games (-26.00 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 75 games (-23.75 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 60 games (-22.80 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 62 games (-21.10 Units / -28% ROI)

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Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Jazz are winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz were 4-5 (.444) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Jazz were 9-21 (.300) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Thunder are 42-4 (.913) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder are 61-26 (.701) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

The Thunder were 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Thunder are 21-1 (.955) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .895

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz averaged 15.7 turnovers per game (1,285 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Jazz have averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (806 turnovers/98 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Jazz have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (389 assists/ 290 TOs) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Jazz averaged 16.4 second chance points per game (672 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 3.6 (40 assists/ 11 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 20.0 fast break points per game (1,823 points/91 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.7

The Jazz allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (652/1,570) in the first half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Jazz have allowed 21.3 fast break points per game (1,066 points/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.0

The Jazz allowed 18.4 fast break points per game (1,510 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.4 steals per game (199 steals/16 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have averaged 9.6 steals per game (451 steals/47 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have forced 20.0 turnovers per game (320 turnovers/16 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.