Jazz vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 22

  • The Thunder are -17.5 favorites vs. the Jazz
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on KJZZ | FDOK

The Utah Jazz visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK, USA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).

The Jazz vs Thunder Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Jazz are 22-18 against the spread, while the Thunder are 27-13 against the spread.


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Jazz vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Utah Jazz+17.5 -110O 227.5 -115+1050
Oklahoma City Thunder -17.5 -110U 227.5 -105-2500

Thunder vs Jazz Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Jazz and Thunder.

Thunder vs Jazz Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 67.1% confidence.


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  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 47 of their last 79 games (+11.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 88 games (+24.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 37 of their last 57 games (+18.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 47 games at home (+11.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.05 Units / 36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 22-18 (+2.2 Units / 4.88% ROI).

  • 10-31 against the Moneyline (-9.8 Units / -23.61% ROI)
  • 24-17 against the Over for game total points (+5.3 Units / 11.75% ROI)
  • 17-24 against the Under for game total points (-9.4 Units / -20.84% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 27-13 (+12.7 Units / 26.85% ROI).

  • 35-8 against the Moneyline (+16.3 Units / 8.3% ROI)
  • 21-21 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.44% ROI)
  • 21-21 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -4.44% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 93 games (-18.25 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 93 games (-18.18 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 44 games at home (-16.00 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 38 games at home (-14.75 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 78 games (-14.65 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 76 games (-25.65 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-22.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 76 games (-19.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 49 games (-17.55 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 76 games (-17.25 Units / -21% ROI)

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Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Jazz are 3-12 (.200) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Jazz are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .375

The Jazz are 1-10 (.091) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413

The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Thunder are 16-4 (.800) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Thunder are 46-8 (.852) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .587

The Thunder are 34-8 (.810) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .610

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 17.7 turnovers per game (726 turnovers/41 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Jazz have averaged 8.3 turnovers per game (1,024 turnovers/123 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Jazz have averaged 16.8 turnovers per game (1,073 turnovers/64 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Jazz have averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (369 turnovers/41 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder had a TS% of 54% last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Thunder averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (450 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 9.1 fast break points per game (1,122 points/123 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Jazz allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (652/1,570) in the first half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Jazz have allowed 20.1 fast break points per game (1,885 points/94 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.7

The Jazz have allowed 21.3 fast break points per game (1,362 points/64 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.1

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 11.4 steals per game (478 steals/42 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,172 steals/124 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have 478 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 47% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.