Kings vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 14

  • The Bucks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSCA | FDWI

The Sacramento Kings visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI, WI, USA.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Kings vs Bucks Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 15-21 against the spread, while the Bucks are 16-21 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+2.5 -115O 227.5 -110+115
Milwaukee Bucks -2.5 -105U 227.5 -110-140

Bucks vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Bucks.

Bucks vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 59.6% confidence.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+12.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+11.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games (+11.05 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 75 games (+10.43 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+13.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+9.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.80 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 15-21 (-8.1 Units / -18.88% ROI).

  • 20-19 against the Moneyline (-11.25 Units / -12.9% ROI)
  • 19-19 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -4.43% ROI)
  • 19-19 against the Under for game total points (-1.95 Units / -4.54% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 16-21 (-7.1 Units / -16.99% ROI).

  • 21-17 against the Moneyline (-16.15 Units / -16.89% ROI)
  • 17-21 against the Over for game total points (-6.1 Units / -14.59% ROI)
  • 21-17 against the Under for game total points (+2.3 Units / 5.5% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 82 games (-62.90 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 87 games (-27.10 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 79 games (-26.40 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 84 games (-26.25 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-23.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-24.67 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 84 games (-24.13 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 79 games (-22.16 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 61 games (-17.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 34 games (-15.50 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Kings are 25-17 (.595) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Kings were 30-10 (.750) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Kings are 55-35 (.611) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508

The Kings are 97-39 (.713) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .651

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Bucks were 15-10 (.600) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks are 36-9 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .690

The Bucks are 10-1 (.909) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .746

The Bucks are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .502

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,324 assists/ 1,078 TOs) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Kings are shooting 35% from three (485/1,401) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (5,207 assists/ 2,524 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 73% from the free throw line (571/786) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (203 points/37 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks have averaged 14.4 offensive rebounds per game (534 rebounds/37 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Kings have allowed 5.4 second chance points per game (657 points/121 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1

The Kings have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,418 rebounds/39 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,415 rebounds/119 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks have forced 12.0 turnovers per game (2,252 turnovers/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0


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