- The Nuggets are -8.5 favorites vs. the Kings
- Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points
- Watch the game on NSCA | ALT | KUSA
The Sacramento Kings visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO, USA.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Kings vs Nuggets Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Kings are 17-23 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 22-20 against the spread.
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Kings vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Sacramento Kings | +7.5 -110 | O 242.5 -115 | +240 |
| Denver Nuggets | -7.5 -110 | U 242.5 -105 | -300 |
Nuggets vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 79.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Kings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 56.2% confidence.
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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 85 games (+14.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+13.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+10.50 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 49 of their last 84 games (+9.87 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 72% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 47 games at home (+19.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games at home (+17.37 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+10.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 17-23 (-8.3 Units / -17.55% ROI).
- 23-20 against the Moneyline (-9.25 Units / -8.42% ROI)
- 22-20 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
- 20-22 against the Under for game total points (-4.25 Units / -8.98% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 22-20 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 27-16 against the Moneyline (-0.4 Units / -0.38% ROI)
- 27-16 against the Over for game total points (+9.4 Units / 19.87% ROI)
- 16-27 against the Under for game total points (-13.7 Units / -28.96% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 87 games (-35.80 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 58 games (-31.80 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 93 games (-27.85 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 65 games (-25.55 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 37 of their last 88 games (-18.78 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 85 games (-26.92 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.16 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 38 games (-16.80 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 65 games (-15.80 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 38 games (-14.00 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. Denver Nuggets
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Kings are winless (0-6) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .200
The Kings are winless (0-16) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .094
The Kings are 13-6 (.684) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560
The Kings are 43-16 (.729) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Nuggets are winless (0-11) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .093
The Nuggets are 16-3 (.842) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558
The Nuggets were 20-8 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Nuggets are 25-7 (.781) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have averaged 116.8 points per game (5,023 points/43 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.9
The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Kings have made 12.5 three-pointers per game this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
The Kings had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,324 assists/ 1,078 TOs) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (149 assists/ 51 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (283/676) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Nuggets have averaged 20.0 fast break points per game (862 points/43 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
The Nuggets have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (451 points/43 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
The Kings have allowed 5.5 second chance points per game (684 points/125 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (366 blocks/94 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Kings have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,566 rebounds/43 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets blocked 457 shots last season — 10th most among NBA teams
The Nuggets have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (6,620 rebounds/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (206 blocks/43 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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