Kings vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 16, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns are -4.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 243.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | NSCA

The Sacramento Kings visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Kings vs Suns Over/Under is 243.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Kings are 21-18 against the spread, while the Suns are 14-24 against the spread.


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Kings vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Sacramento Kings+4.5 -115O 243.5 -105+145
Phoenix Suns -4.5 -105U 243.5 -115-175

Suns vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Tuesday‘s game with 65.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Kings and Suns, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Suns vs Kings Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 away games (+10.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 away games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 away games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 53 of their last 77 games (+26.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 84 games (+20.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 39 games at home (+18.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 54 of their last 87 games (+17.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 43 of their last 69 games (+15.65 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 21-18 (+1.05 Units / 2.43% ROI).

  • 23-16 against the Moneyline (-9.35 Units / -11.08% ROI)
  • 19-19 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -4.43% ROI)
  • 19-19 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -4.43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 14-24 (-12.6 Units / -29.17% ROI).

  • 21-18 against the Moneyline (-9.65 Units / -9.74% ROI)
  • 22-17 against the Over for game total points (+3.3 Units / 7.69% ROI)
  • 17-22 against the Under for game total points (-7.2 Units / -16.78% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 77 games (-35.10 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 66 games (-31.25 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 88 games (-31.05 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 66 games (-26.70 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 24 of their last 66 games (-21.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 58 games (-28.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 82 games (-22.30 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 68 games (-18.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 86 games (-16.35 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 76 games (-16.20 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Kings were 37-28 (.569) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Kings are 0-10 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Suns have allowed 112.5 points per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-8th-best in the NBA.

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings were 16-2 (.889) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The Suns are 9-2 (.818) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .587

The Suns are 42-26 (.618) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

The Suns were 5-11 (.312) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Suns vs. KingsTuesday‘s Game, Jan. 16

  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Back, Out
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out
  • Alex Len (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Keegan Murray (Sacramento Kings): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Chris Duarte (Sacramento Kings): Knee, Game Time Decision

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 1.37 points per shot (9,898 points/7,234 shots) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Kings had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,058 assists/ 548 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (431 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Suns have averaged 11.2 fast break points per game (1,357 points/121 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Suns have an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Suns shot 37% from three (1,001/2,674) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have allowed 4.5 fast break points per game (548 points/121 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 6.5

The Kings have averaged 6.9 steals per game (269 steals/39 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (270/643) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (346 blocks/63 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (670 blocks/121 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Suns allowed an average of 1.44 points per shot (1,283 points/894 shots) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32

The Suns allowed 54.5 points per game (4,469 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 57.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.