- The Warriors are -2.5 favorites vs. the Kings
- Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
- Watch the game on NSCA | NSBA
The Sacramento Kings visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Francisco, CA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Kings vs Warriors Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Kings are 12-21 against the spread, while the Warriors are 17-16 against the spread.
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Kings vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Sacramento Kings | O | ||
| Golden State Warriors | U |
Warriors vs Kings Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Kings and Warriors.
Warriors vs Kings Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.
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Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 57 games (+13.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+12.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+10.73 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 44 of their last 76 games (+8.22 Units / 9% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- No trends found
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 12-21 (-11.1 Units / -28.83% ROI).
- 16-19 against the Moneyline (-19.3 Units / -23.67% ROI)
- 16-18 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -9.88% ROI)
- 18-16 against the Under for game total points (+0.35 Units / 0.91% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 17-16 (-0.7 Units / -1.92% ROI).
- 17-16 against the Moneyline (-8.9 Units / -13.55% ROI)
- 14-19 against the Over for game total points (-6.9 Units / -19.01% ROI)
- 19-14 against the Under for game total points (+3.6 Units / 9.92% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- No trends found
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 82 games (-34.80 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-28.18 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-24.42 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 84 games (-23.51 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 57 games (-19.60 Units / -31% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Kings are 5-11 (.312) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have averaged 56.0 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.
The Kings were 14-6 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Kings are undefeated (12-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .899
The Kings are 11-21 (.344) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Warriors are 11-1 (.917) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .810
The Warriors were 9-13 (.409) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Warriors were 9-3 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Warriors are 31-4 (.886) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings are shooting 30% from three (154/506) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Kings have averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (469 turnovers/35 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8
The Kings made 14.4 three-pointers per game last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 71% from the free throw line (499/702) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have made 15.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
The Warriors have averaged 1.14 points per shot (1,828 points/1,598 shots) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
The Kings have allowed 5.4 second chance points per game (632 points/117 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.0
The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (301 steals/34 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors have 301 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams
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