- The Heat are -2.5 favorites vs. the Knicks
- Total (Over/Under): 207.5 points
- Watch the game on MSG | SUN
The New York Knicks visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami, FL.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Knicks vs Heat Over/Under is 207.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 39-32 against the spread, while the Heat are 35-37 against the spread.
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Knicks vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
New York Knicks | +2.5 -105 | O 207.5 -110 | +125 |
Miami Heat | -2.5 -115 | U 207.5 -110 | -150 |
Heat vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Knicks and Heat.
Heat vs Knicks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 55.3% confidence.
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Knicks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 53 of their last 85 games (+18.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games (+17.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+12.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+11.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 68 games (+11.35 Units / 6% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 83 games (+22.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 98 games (+20.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 44 games (+17.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 55 of their last 98 games (+16.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.40 Units / 32% ROI)
New York Knicks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 39-32 (+3.8 Units / 4.67% ROI).
- 44-30 against the Moneyline (+8.3 Units / 4.43% ROI)
- 30-44 against the Over for game total points (-18.4 Units / -22.6% ROI)
- 44-30 against the Under for game total points (+11 Units / 13.51% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 35-37 (-5.7 Units / -7% ROI).
- 41-33 against the Moneyline (-1 Units / -0.7% ROI)
- 28-46 against the Over for game total points (-22.6 Units / -27.76% ROI)
- 46-28 against the Under for game total points (+15.2 Units / 18.67% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 83 games (-30.40 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 100 games (-27.90 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 90 games (-26.15 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-23.30 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 43 games (-21.90 Units / -44% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Knicks:
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 85 games (-30.40 Units / -31% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-24.45 Units / -25% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-24.30 Units / -25% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 39 games (-18.50 Units / -40% ROI)
- The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-16.70 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the New York Knicks
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat
- New York Knicks Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- New York Knicks Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Knicks are undefeated (7-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563
The Knicks are winless (0-14) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .253
The Knicks are 12-4 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
The Knicks are 23-5 (.821) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks
The Heat were 32-21 (.604) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Heat were 12-3 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700
The Heat are 15-4 (.789) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569
The Heat were 20-9 (.690) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
Injury Report: Heat vs. Knicks – Tuesday‘s Game, Apr. 2
- Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): Knee, Game Time Decision
- Thomas Bryant (Miami Heat): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
- Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out
- Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
- Orlando Robinson (Miami Heat): Back, Out
- Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Knee, Out
- OG Anunoby (New York Knicks): Elbow, Out
- Duane Washington Jr. (New York Knicks): Thumb, Game Time Decision
- Julius Randle (New York Knicks): Shoulder, Out
- Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks): Ankle, Out
New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Knicks have averaged 19.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,425 rebounds/74 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3
The Knicks have averaged 8.6 second chance points per game (638 points/74 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6
The Knicks have averaged 15.8 second chance points per game (1,214 points/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Knicks averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (1,065 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Heat have an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Heat are shooting 43% (371/870) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Knicks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (307 blocks/74 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Knicks averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,991 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Knicks averaged 4.1 blocks per game (340 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Knicks have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,593 rebounds/156 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (496 blocks/156 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (240 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (256 blocks/79 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
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