Knicks vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 2

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 02, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Heat are -2.5 favorites vs. the Knicks
  • Total (Over/Under): 207.5 points
  • Watch the game on MSG | SUN

The New York Knicks visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami, FL.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Knicks vs Heat Over/Under is 207.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 39-32 against the spread, while the Heat are 35-37 against the spread.


Bet now on Heat vs Knicks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Knicks vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks+2.5 -105O 207.5 -110+125
Miami Heat -2.5 -115U 207.5 -110-150

Heat vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Knicks and Heat.

Heat vs Knicks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Knicks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 55.3% confidence.


Bet now on Heat vs Knicks and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 53 of their last 85 games (+18.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games (+17.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+12.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+11.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 68 games (+11.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 83 games (+22.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 98 games (+20.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 44 games (+17.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 55 of their last 98 games (+16.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.40 Units / 32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 39-32 (+3.8 Units / 4.67% ROI).

  • 44-30 against the Moneyline (+8.3 Units / 4.43% ROI)
  • 30-44 against the Over for game total points (-18.4 Units / -22.6% ROI)
  • 44-30 against the Under for game total points (+11 Units / 13.51% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 35-37 (-5.7 Units / -7% ROI).

  • 41-33 against the Moneyline (-1 Units / -0.7% ROI)
  • 28-46 against the Over for game total points (-22.6 Units / -27.76% ROI)
  • 46-28 against the Under for game total points (+15.2 Units / 18.67% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 83 games (-30.40 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 100 games (-27.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 90 games (-26.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-23.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 43 games (-21.90 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 85 games (-30.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-24.45 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-24.30 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 39 games (-18.50 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-16.70 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Knicks are undefeated (7-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Knicks are winless (0-14) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .253

The Knicks are 12-4 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Knicks are 23-5 (.821) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Heat were 32-21 (.604) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Heat were 12-3 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Heat are 15-4 (.789) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

The Heat were 20-9 (.690) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

Injury Report: Heat vs. KnicksTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 2

  • Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Thomas Bryant (Miami Heat): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out
  • Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
  • Orlando Robinson (Miami Heat): Back, Out
  • Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Knee, Out
  • OG Anunoby (New York Knicks): Elbow, Out
  • Duane Washington Jr. (New York Knicks): Thumb, Game Time Decision
  • Julius Randle (New York Knicks): Shoulder, Out
  • Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks): Ankle, Out

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 19.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,425 rebounds/74 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Knicks have averaged 8.6 second chance points per game (638 points/74 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Knicks have averaged 15.8 second chance points per game (1,214 points/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Knicks averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (1,065 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 52.5 points per game (4,308 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Heat have an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Heat are shooting 43% (371/870) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (307 blocks/74 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Knicks averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,991 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Knicks averaged 4.1 blocks per game (340 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Knicks have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,593 rebounds/156 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (496 blocks/156 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (240 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (256 blocks/79 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


Bet now on Heat vs Knicks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.