Lakers vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 5

Lakers logo on the left and Rockets logo on the right
  • The Rockets are -4.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on SPEC | SCHN

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Lakers vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 17-17 against the spread, while the Rockets are 20-14 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers O
Houston Rockets U

Rockets vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Sunday‘s game with 75.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Rockets.

Rockets vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 54.3% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 73 games (+23.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 51 of their last 83 games (+20.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games (+12.83 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.85 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 60 games (+20.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 37 of their last 58 games (+13.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 59 games (+13.23 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 54 games (+11.17 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 17-17 (-1.7 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 20-14 against the Moneyline (+3 Units / 4.81% ROI)
  • 15-19 against the Over for game total points (-5.9 Units / -15.8% ROI)
  • 19-15 against the Under for game total points (+2.45 Units / 6.54% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 20-14 (+4.6 Units / 12.3% ROI).

  • 22-12 against the Moneyline (-1.25 Units / -1.63% ROI)
  • 16-17 against the Over for game total points (-2.7 Units / -7.2% ROI)
  • 17-16 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -1.34% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 73 games (-19.67 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-16.60 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 70 games (-15.02 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 39 games at home (-14.85 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 55 games (-13.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-23.87 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-18.85 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 76 games (-17.47 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 87 games (-17.08 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 31 games (-16.72 Units / -45% ROI)

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Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Lakers are 12-4 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Lakers are winless (0-10) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .094

The Lakers are 20-11 (.645) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Lakers are 16-10 (.615) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Rockets are 17-6 (.739) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have averaged 49.9 rebounds/game this season — 4th-lowest in the NBA.

The Rockets are 20-11 (.645) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

The Rockets were 16-7 (.696) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Rockets are 9-1 (.900) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .658

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (572 points/116 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (860 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets are shooting 24% from three (39/164) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Rockets have an eFG% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Rockets have averaged 1.08 points per shot (455 points/422 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Rockets are shooting 30% from three (185/615) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have allowed a TS% of 55% in close and late situations this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49%

The Lakers have averaged 7.7 steals per game (261 steals/34 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Lakers have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,172 rebounds/34 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 48% this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Rockets averaged 7.8 steals per game (639 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Rockets have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (254 blocks/59 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.