Lakers vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 25, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns are -3.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at + (+).

The Lakers vs Suns Over/Under is Not Found total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 27-32 against the spread, while the Suns are 23-32 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers+ +O Not Found ++
Phoenix Suns + +U Not Found ++

Suns vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Sunday‘s game with 67.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Suns.

Suns vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 78 games (+19.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 41 away games (+18.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 45 away games (+17.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 39 away games (+15.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 98 games (+14.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 58 of their last 86 games (+27.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 45 games at home (+24.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 89 games (+20.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 54 of their last 87 games (+18.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 1H Spread in 47 of their last 81 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 27-32 (-8.25 Units / -12.7% ROI).

  • 32-27 against the Moneyline (+7.5 Units / 6.5% ROI)
  • 31-27 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 2% ROI)
  • 27-31 against the Under for game total points (-7.15 Units / -11.01% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 23-32 (-12.4 Units / -19.68% ROI).

  • 33-24 against the Moneyline (-5.65 Units / -4.06% ROI)
  • 27-30 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -9.57% ROI)
  • 30-27 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.48% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 84 games (-37.30 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 86 games (-36.60 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 84 games (-34.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 89 games (-32.25 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 33 of their last 84 games (-21.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 78 games (-26.95 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 away games (-22.20 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 away games (-22.10 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 39 away games (-20.10 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 96 games (-19.95 Units / -13% ROI)

Jump to:

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Lakers are 8-3 (.727) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Lakers were 20-16 (.556) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Lakers were 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Lakers are 30-46 (.395) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Suns were 1-12 (.077) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Suns were 5-11 (.312) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Suns were 24-5 (.828) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Suns were 22-8 (.733) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Suns vs. LakersSunday‘s Game, Feb. 25

  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out
  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.4 second chance points per game (237 points/54 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers have averaged 17.0 fast break points per game (2,318 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Lakers had 26.6 free throw attempts per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns averaged 5.4 fast break points per game (441 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Suns are shooting 50% (2,268/4,545) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (153 assists/ 121 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,991 rebounds/54 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,107 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have blocked 341 shots on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th most among NBA teams

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/53 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns have blocked 748 shots since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (748 blocks/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.