Lakers vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 27

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Los Angeles Lakers visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Lakers vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 46-37 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 41-42 against the spread.


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Lakers vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Los Angeles Lakers O
Minnesota Timberwolves U

Timberwolves vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Sunday‘s game with 71.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Lakers and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Lakers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 72 games (+19.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 45 games (+14.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 16 games (+13.80 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the Spread in 38 of their last 63 games (+12.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 56 games (+24.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 56 games (+18.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games at home (+13.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+12.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.60 Units / 65% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 46-37 (+5.3 Units / 5.67% ROI).

  • 51-34 against the Moneyline (+3 Units / 1.59% ROI)
  • 42-43 against the Over for game total points (-5.3 Units / -5.67% ROI)
  • 43-42 against the Under for game total points (-3.25 Units / -3.47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 41-42 (-5.25 Units / -5.61% ROI).

  • 51-34 against the Moneyline (-17.95 Units / -5.62% ROI)
  • 45-40 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 1.07% ROI)
  • 40-45 against the Under for game total points (-9.5 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 95 games (-26.00 Units / -8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 48 games at home (-23.72 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 98 games (-23.65 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 98 games (-20.67 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 56 games (-20.30 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-23.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-22.47 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 82 games (-22.22 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 87 games (-20.37 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 70 games (-19.60 Units / -24% ROI)

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Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Lakers are 0-12 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Timberwolves have allowed 107.9 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-best in the NBA.

The Lakers are undefeated (11-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .762

The Lakers are 10-3 (.769) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Lakers were 11-5 (.688) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Timberwolves are 34-13 (.723) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have averaged 50.5 rebounds/game this season — 5th-lowest in the NBA.

The Timberwolves were 1-5 (.167) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Timberwolves are 34-6 (.850) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .703

The Timberwolves are 54-29 (.651) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 5.1 second chance points per game (835 points/164 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (860 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 15.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,250 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.5 fast break points per game (1,022 points/82 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (1,233/3,269) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves shot 38% from three (515/1,359) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,880 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Lakers have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,927 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 7.7 steals per game (633 steals/82 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 48% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%


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