- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Dallas Mavericks visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Memphis, TN, TN.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Mavericks vs Grizzlies Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 38-43 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 42-40 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dallas Mavericks | O | ||
Memphis Grizzlies | U |
Grizzlies vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Grizzlies.
Grizzlies vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 42 away games (+13.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 away games (+10.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 49 away games (+10.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 44 away games (+9.58 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 71 games (+8.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Grizzlies Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2H Moneyline in 50 of their last 78 games (+19.02 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 2H Spread in 48 of their last 78 games (+17.11 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 31 games at home (+13.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.30 Units / 30% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 38-43 (-9.3 Units / -10.18% ROI).
- 40-43 against the Moneyline (+1.7 Units / 1.02% ROI)
- 46-36 against the Over for game total points (+6.4 Units / 7.01% ROI)
- 36-46 against the Under for game total points (-14.6 Units / -15.99% ROI)
Memphis Grizzlies Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 42-40 (-2 Units / -2.19% ROI).
- 48-35 against the Moneyline (+2 Units / 1.11% ROI)
- 47-36 against the Over for game total points (+7.4 Units / 8.11% ROI)
- 36-47 against the Under for game total points (-15.7 Units / -17.2% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Grizzlies:
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 49 games (-38.35 Units / -46% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 51 games (-24.30 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 65 games (-23.00 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-22.02 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 69 games (-19.70 Units / -25% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-23.25 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 69 games (-18.55 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 42 away games (-17.80 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 49 away games (-17.55 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-17.38 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Memphis Grizzlies
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Memphis Grizzlies Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies
The Mavericks are 54-18 (.750) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have allowed 13.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.
The Mavericks are 9-1 (.900) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .762
The Mavericks are 25-5 (.833) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .703
The Mavericks are undefeated (20-0) when allowing fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .910
Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Grizzlies are undefeated (10-0) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627
The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207
The Grizzlies are 5-44 (.102) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .227
The Grizzlies were 9-12 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have averaged 1.30 points per shot (9,364 points/7,194 shots) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Mavericks had 22.7 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Mavericks averaged 15.4 offensive rebounds per game (1,263 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2
Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Grizzlies averaged 11.6 fast break points per game (950 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Grizzlies averaged 51.8 points per game (4,250 points/82 games) in the first half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.2
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (445 blocks/82 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (1,208 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (612 steals/83 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends
The Grizzlies have allowed 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (825 rebounds/82 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.6
The Grizzlies have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,017 rebounds/82 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Grizzlies blocked 501 shots last season — 4th most among NBA teams
The Grizzlies averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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