- The Kings are -1.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | NSCA | WFAA
The Dallas Mavericks visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.
The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Mavericks vs Kings Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 41-31 against the spread, while the Kings are 36-35 against the spread.
Bet now on Kings vs Mavericks and all NBA games with BetMGM
Mavericks vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dallas Mavericks | +1.5 -115 | O 231.5 -110 | -105 |
| Sacramento Kings | -1.5 -105 | U 231.5 -110 | -115 |
Kings vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Friday‘s game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Kings.
Kings vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 53.7% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 43 games (+16.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 36 away games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 37 away games (+8.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+8.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games (+10.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+6.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.40 Units / 13% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 41-31 (+6.9 Units / 8.72% ROI).
- 43-29 against the Moneyline (+3.85 Units / 2.6% ROI)
- 34-38 against the Over for game total points (-7.8 Units / -9.85% ROI)
- 38-34 against the Under for game total points (+0.6 Units / 0.76% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 36-35 (-2.45 Units / -3.1% ROI).
- 42-30 against the Moneyline (-21.75 Units / -12.88% ROI)
- 33-37 against the Over for game total points (-7.7 Units / -9.72% ROI)
- 37-33 against the Under for game total points (+0.7 Units / 0.88% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 84 games (-38.85 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 62 games (-21.60 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 36 games at home (-19.55 Units / -48% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 70 games (-17.80 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 83 games (-13.50 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 77 games (-27.80 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 45 games (-22.70 Units / -44% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 49 games (-18.20 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 58 games (-16.90 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 65 games (-15.60 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Mavericks are undefeated (9-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .745
The Mavericks are 25-2 (.926) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 48% this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.
The Mavericks were 7-8 (.467) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Mavericks are 25-2 (.926) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .787
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Kings are 27-2 (.931) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .797
The Kings were 29-17 (.630) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Kings were 22-6 (.786) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702
The Kings were 46-18 (.719) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
Injury Report: Kings vs. Mavericks – Friday‘s Game, Mar. 29
- Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
- Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (196 assists/ 68 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2
The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0
The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7
The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1
The Kings averaged 24.7 points per game (1,578 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9
The Kings are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,135/1,522) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (341 blocks/72 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Mavericks have averaged 6.9 steals per game (497 steals/72 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,011 steals/154 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Kings have allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (379 points/72 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
The Kings have allowed 11.0 second chance points per game (791 points/72 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings averaged 7.0 steals per game (574 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
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