- The Mavericks are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
- Watch the game on KFAA | FDDT
The Dallas Mavericks visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit, MI, USA.
The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-102).
The Mavericks vs Pistons Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 23-23 against the spread, while the Pistons are 24-22 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dallas Mavericks | -1.5 -102 | O 228.5 -105 | -118 |
| Detroit Pistons | +1.5 -118 | U 228.5 -115 | -102 |
Pistons vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Friday‘s game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Pistons.
Pistons vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 55.6% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 54 of their last 89 games (+16.98 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 100 games (+15.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 90 games (+14.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 44 away games (+13.77 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 51 of their last 90 games (+11.40 Units / 12% ROI)
Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 77 games (+22.24 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 80 games (+16.68 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 83 games (+15.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+14.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+13.65 Units / 43% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 23-23 (-2.3 Units / -4.36% ROI).
- 26-22 against the Moneyline (+2.7 Units / 2.38% ROI)
- 25-23 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.57% ROI)
- 23-25 against the Under for game total points (-4.5 Units / -8.52% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 24-22 (-0.2 Units / -0.39% ROI).
- 23-24 against the Moneyline (+9.3 Units / 15.7% ROI)
- 24-21 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 1.74% ROI)
- 21-24 against the Under for game total points (-5.4 Units / -10.44% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 77 games (-34.20 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 77 games (-28.35 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.07 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 79 games (-17.55 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 82 games (-16.45 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-30.52 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 98 games (-25.55 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 99 games (-20.55 Units / -12% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 43 of their last 98 games (-19.40 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 99 games (-18.60 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Detroit Pistons
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Mavericks are 13-4 (.765) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed 13.8 made three-pointers per game this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.
The Mavericks are 13-11 (.542) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .437
The Mavericks are undefeated (8-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733
The Mavericks are 16-8 (.667) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563
Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Pistons are 18-57 (.240) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547
The Pistons are 19-102 (.157) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453
The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (1,131 turnovers/188 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Mavericks have averaged 15.4 second chance points per game (737 points/48 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Mavericks have averaged 1.32 points per shot (5,561 points/4,227 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Pistons have averaged 9.8 fast break points per game (461 points/47 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,288 assists/ 1,487 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,088 assists/ 1,248 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (281 blocks/48 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Mavericks have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,743 rebounds/48 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (479 steals/65 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 6.8 steals per game (877 steals/129 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Pistons have allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (697 points/589 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31
The Pistons have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,523 rebounds/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
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