- The Rockets are -5.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
- Watch the game on KFAA | SCHN
The Dallas Mavericks visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston, TX.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Mavericks vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 18-14 against the spread, while the Rockets are 19-13 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dallas Mavericks | O | ||
| Houston Rockets | U |
Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Wednesday‘s game with 69.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Rockets.
Rockets vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 61 of their last 99 games (+19.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 42 away games (+19.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 54 of their last 88 games (+18.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 away games (+18.42 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 96 games (+14.10 Units / 13% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 58 games (+22.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 48 games (+15.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 36 of their last 56 games (+14.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 57 games (+12.23 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 games (+11.17 Units / 15% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 18-14 (+2.6 Units / 7.16% ROI).
- 20-13 against the Moneyline (+1.4 Units / 1.56% ROI)
- 17-16 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -1.65% ROI)
- 16-17 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -7.44% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 19-13 (+4.7 Units / 13.35% ROI).
- 21-11 against the Moneyline (-1.25 Units / -1.69% ROI)
- 16-15 against the Over for game total points (-0.5 Units / -1.42% ROI)
- 15-16 against the Under for game total points (-2.5 Units / -7.12% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 71 games (-19.57 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-16.60 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 84 games (-15.85 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 53 games (-15.10 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 37 games at home (-14.70 Units / -34% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 99 games (-34.62 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 100 games (-27.65 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 100 games (-23.90 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.50 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 43 of their last 100 games (-19.35 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Mavericks are undefeated (11-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .602
The Mavericks are 18-6 (.750) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .583
The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Mavericks are 34-8 (.810) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .632
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Rockets are 1-5 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Mavericks have shot 38% from three this season — 5th-best in the NBA.
The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353
The Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .254
The Rockets are 10-3 (.769) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (1,131 turnovers/188 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Mavericks have averaged 6.1 turnovers per game (707 turnovers/115 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Mavericks are shooting 38% from three (443/1,176) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an eFG% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets are shooting 24% from three (39/164) in close and late situations this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Rockets have averaged 19.6 offensive rebounds per game (3,689 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.4
The Rockets have averaged 1.08 points per shot (455 points/421 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (193 blocks/33 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Mavericks have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,149 rebounds/115 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks have blocked 193 shots this season — tied for 4th most among NBA teams
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,208 rebounds/32 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5
The Rockets averaged 4.6 blocks per game (374 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Rockets have averaged 8.0 steals per game (907 steals/114 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Rockets have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,783 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
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