- The Thunder are -12.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
- Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
- Watch the game on KFAA | WFAA | FDOK
The Dallas Mavericks visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK, USA.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).
The Mavericks vs Thunder Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 21-22 against the spread, while the Thunder are 27-14 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dallas Mavericks | +12.5 -115 | O 223.5 -115 | +475 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -12.5 -105 | U 223.5 -105 | -650 |
Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Thunder.
Thunder vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 57.7% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 53 of their last 85 games (+18.28 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 away games (+16.02 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 100 games (+13.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 99 games (+13.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 57 of their last 99 games (+13.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 89 games (+25.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 37 of their last 58 games (+17.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 48 games at home (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 21-22 (-3.2 Units / -6.61% ROI).
- 23-21 against the Moneyline (-3.1 Units / -2.99% ROI)
- 21-23 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -8.88% ROI)
- 23-21 against the Under for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.21% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 27-14 (+11.6 Units / 23.97% ROI).
- 36-8 against the Moneyline (+17.3 Units / 8.19% ROI)
- 22-21 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -2.27% ROI)
- 21-22 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -6.61% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 94 games (-19.40 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 94 games (-17.18 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 79 games (-15.80 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games at home (-15.00 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (-13.75 Units / -10% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 99 games (-28.22 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 94 games (-28.10 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 100 games (-23.90 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 39 of their last 94 games (-23.40 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 43 of their last 99 games (-19.02 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Mavericks are 36-11 (.766) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 49.8 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-lowest in the NBA.
The Mavericks were 41-27 (.603) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487
The Mavericks were 9-3 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Mavericks are 28-3 (.903) when their eFG is 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .838
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Thunder are 15-2 (.882) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558
The Thunder are 26-8 (.765) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458
The Thunder were 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
The Thunder are 27-3 (.900) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .527
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks made 14.7 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Mavericks are shooting 48% (1,849/3,877) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Mavericks averaged 119.2 points per game (9,772 points/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (519 turnovers/43 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.7
The Thunder have 19.1 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Thunder are shooting 83% from the free throw line (680/821) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have 364 steals this season — tied for 10th most among NBA teams
The Mavericks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (642 steals/95 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,285 steals/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,187 steals/125 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have averaged 11.5 steals per game (493 steals/43 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 47% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have 493 steals this season — most among NBA teams
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