Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 22, 2024, 4:32 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -4.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 206.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | truTV

The Dallas Mavericks visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Mavericks vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 206.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 55-39 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 48-44 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+4.5 -110O 206.5 -105+155
Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 -110U 206.5 -115-190

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Wednesday‘s game with 61.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 69 games (+18.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 65 games (+16.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 away games (+10.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 away games (+10.40 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 51 of their last 81 games (+17.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 67 games (+16.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 90 games (+15.20 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 62 games (+11.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 41 games (+11.00 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 55-39 (+12.1 Units / 11.71% ROI).

  • 58-36 against the Moneyline (+5.65 Units / 2.84% ROI)
  • 42-52 against the Over for game total points (-15.2 Units / -14.7% ROI)
  • 52-42 against the Under for game total points (+5.8 Units / 5.61% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 48-44 (-0.5 Units / -0.49% ROI).

  • 64-29 against the Moneyline (+13.75 Units / 4.52% ROI)
  • 48-45 against the Over for game total points (-1.5 Units / -1.47% ROI)
  • 45-48 against the Under for game total points (-7.8 Units / -7.62% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 84 games (-30.95 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 86 games (-27.25 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 67 games (-26.15 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 86 games (-22.10 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 94 games (-29.90 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 67 games (-26.60 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 71 games (-25.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 57 games (-19.60 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

Keys to the game – away

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

Keys to the game – home

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. MavericksWednesday‘s Game, May 22

  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out For Season
  • Greg Brown (Dallas Mavericks): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • PJ Washington (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Dereck Lively II (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Luka Doncic (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

Away Team Offense Stories

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,494 points/7,167 shots) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Timberwolves had a TS% of 52% last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves averaged 54.2 points in the paint per game (4,446 points/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,264 points/6,973 shots) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,086 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

Home Team Defense Stories


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.