Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 30

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 30, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -4.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 209.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | truTV

The Dallas Mavericks visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Mavericks vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 209.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 58-40 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 49-47 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks+4.5 -105O 209.5 -110+165
Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 -115U 209.5 -110-200

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Thursday‘s game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 63.7% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 34 of their last 49 games (+17.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 69 games (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 73 games (+16.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 away games (+14.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 20 away games (+12.40 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 53 of their last 85 games (+17.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 71 games (+16.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 94 games (+10.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 52 of their last 91 games (+9.85 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 58-40 (+14 Units / 13% ROI).

  • 61-37 against the Moneyline (+9.2 Units / 4.53% ROI)
  • 45-53 against the Over for game total points (-13.3 Units / -12.34% ROI)
  • 53-45 against the Under for game total points (+3.5 Units / 3.25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 49-47 (-2.8 Units / -2.62% ROI).

  • 65-32 against the Moneyline (+9.25 Units / 2.98% ROI)
  • 51-46 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 0.37% ROI)
  • 46-51 against the Under for game total points (-10.1 Units / -9.47% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 88 games (-30.25 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 71 games (-26.45 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 90 games (-25.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 91 games (-22.95 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 90 games (-20.35 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 98 games (-30.90 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 71 games (-26.90 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 75 games (-23.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 61 games (-21.80 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-18.75 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

Keys to the game – away

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

Keys to the game – home

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. MavericksThursday‘s Game, May 30

  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out For Season
  • Greg Brown (Dallas Mavericks): Personal, Game Time Decision
  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • PJ Washington (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Dereck Lively II (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Luka Doncic (Dallas Mavericks): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 20.1 points in the paint per game (1,646 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (1,037/2,681) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves averaged 12.3 second chance points per game (1,011 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves shot 50% (1,763/3,553) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,086 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 50% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 49% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (506 blocks/82 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Timberwolves have allowed 51.5 points per game (4,222 points/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 56.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.