Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 02, 2024, 12:00 AM
  • The Mavericks are -7.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on KATU | KFAA

The Dallas Mavericks visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Portland, OR.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mavericks vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 11-8 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 12-7 against the spread.


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Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dallas Mavericks O
Portland Trail Blazers U

Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 62.0% confidence.


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  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 95 games (+25.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 47 of their last 75 games (+18.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 60 of their last 99 games (+17.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 34 away games (+15.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 away games (+14.87 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 78 games (+24.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 50 games (+17.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+12.30 Units / 137% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games (+11.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+8.91 Units / 49% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 11-8 (+2.2 Units / 10% ROI).

  • 12-8 against the Moneyline (+1.55 Units / 2.8% ROI)
  • 11-9 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 5% ROI)
  • 9-11 against the Under for game total points (-3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 12-7 (+4.3 Units / 19.59% ROI).

  • 8-12 against the Moneyline (+9.95 Units / 49.26% ROI)
  • 7-12 against the Over for game total points (-6.2 Units / -28.18% ROI)
  • 12-7 against the Under for game total points (+4.3 Units / 19.55% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 78 games (-36.20 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 50 games (-25.05 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 77 games (-19.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 82 games (-17.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 72 games (-17.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 97 games (-39.62 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 99 games (-27.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 87 games (-25.50 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 70 games (-20.55 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 87 games (-20.35 Units / -13% ROI)

Jump to:

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Mavericks are 13-8 (.619) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Mavericks were 30-15 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks were 28-2 (.933) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Mavericks are 26-11 (.703) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Trail Blazers are 1-11 (.083) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427

The Trail Blazers are 2-22 (.083) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .315

The Trail Blazers were 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Trail Blazers are 1-8 (.111) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (587 turnovers/99 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Mavericks had an eFG% of 56% last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Mavericks have averaged 16.2 second chance points per game (275 points/17 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.17 points per shot (1,794 points/1,527 shots) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Trail Blazers averaged 1.19 points per shot (8,722 points/7,356 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Trail Blazers have a TS% of 48% in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,571 rebounds/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.9 steals per game (629 steals/91 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (809 blocks/181 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,233 rebounds/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,971 rebounds/181 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (85/325) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%


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