- The Mavericks are -13.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
- Watch the game on KFAA | MNMT | MMT2
The Dallas Mavericks visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Washington, DC.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Mavericks vs Wizards Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Mavericks are 13-8 against the spread, while the Wizards are 5-13 against the spread.
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Mavericks vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Dallas Mavericks | O | ||
Washington Wizards | U |
Wizards vs Mavericks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Mavericks and Wizards.
Wizards vs Mavericks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 97 games (+23.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 49 of their last 77 games (+20.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 35 away games (+16.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 60 of their last 100 games (+16.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 away games (+15.87 Units / 44% ROI)
Wizards Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 74 games (+17.93 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+15.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 60 games (+12.28 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+11.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 13-8 (+4.2 Units / 17.36% ROI).
- 14-8 against the Moneyline (+3.55 Units / 6.01% ROI)
- 12-10 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 4.13% ROI)
- 10-12 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI)
Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 5-13 (-9.3 Units / -44.5% ROI).
- 2-17 against the Moneyline (-12.7 Units / -66.84% ROI)
- 9-10 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -9.57% ROI)
- 10-9 against the Under for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Wizards:
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 82 games (-31.60 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 47 games (-24.70 Units / -46% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-24.20 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 48 games (-24.15 Units / -48% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 63 games (-23.44 Units / -36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 99 games (-37.62 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 89 games (-28.65 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 100 games (-26.00 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 72 games (-22.85 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 89 games (-19.55 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Keys to Winning for the Washington Wizards
- Player Injuries for Dallas Mavericks vs. Washington Wizards
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Washington Wizards Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
- Washington Wizards Defensive stats
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards
The Mavericks are undefeated (12-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .898
The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551
The Mavericks were 6-4 (.600) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Mavericks were 17-1 (.944) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822
Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
The Wizards are 8-55 (.127) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Wizards are 4-50 (.074) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424
The Wizards are 14-76 (.156) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .433
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (621 turnovers/104 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Mavericks have averaged 15.2 second chance points per game (335 points/22 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Mavericks have averaged 118.0 points per game (2,597 points/22 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.8
Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards are shooting 29% from three (92/320) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
The Wizards have averaged 8.8 fast break points per game (888 points/101 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Wizards averaged 17.6 fast break points per game (1,442 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (798 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Mavericks have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,749 rebounds/104 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,267 steals/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards allowed 16.4 second chance points per game (1,345 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
The Wizards have allowed 18.6 offensive rebounds per game (928 rebounds/50 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.4
The Wizards allowed 60.3 points in the paint per game (2,474 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.9
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