NBA Most Improved Player Odds 2024-25: Favorites & Predictions

The NBA’s Most Improved Player has become an interesting race in recent seasons.

Philadelphia 76ers guard Tyrese Maxey won the award in 2023-24 after entering the year with +1200 odds. There was an argument that he might have already been too good to win MIP, but his selection followed a familiar formula of recent winners: a good player establishes himself as an All-Star.

Maxey was the fifth consecutive MIP to earn his first All-Star selection in the same season he won the award. Seven of the past eight winners have been first-time All-Stars, with the lone exception being Pascal Siakam, who earned an All-Star nod the year after he won MIP.

With that in mind, here is a look at who might win this year’s Most Improved Player award based on the latest NBA odds:

Odds to Win NBA Most Improved Player, 2024-25

NBA Most Improved Player Odds: Jalen Williams Now Favored

Oklahoma City Thunder forward Jalen Williams has become the new betting favorite to win the NBA’s Most Improved Player award in 2024-25, as his odds are now +400 to claim the honor after being +2200 in the preseason.

Williams, my favorite pick in this market in the offseason, now has an implied probability of 20%.

Williams fits the prototype of the player who usually wins this award.

He’s on track to earn his first All-Star selection and has increased his scoring average to over 21 points per game. He’s also made an impact defensively, stepping in as a small-ball center when necessary for an Oklahoma City team playing without Chet Holmgren.

However, the season is still young, and the NBA’s Most Improved Player market has already featured plenty of movement.

Victor Wembanyama opened as a controversial favorite in the preseason and is now a 40/1 long shot. Houston Rockets’ Jalen Green, Charlotte Hornets’ LaMelo Ball, and Atlanta Hawks’ Jalen Johnson have all spent some time as the betting favorite in this market before Williams.

Williams remains my pick to win MIP, but I’ll monitor this market closely to identify any players worth adding to my portfolio.

Prediction: Jalen Williams (+400)

NBA Most Improved Player Best Bets for 2024-25

• Jonathan Kuminga +1600 (0.25 units)
• Jalen Williams +2000 (0.25 units)
• Cade Cunningham +4000 (0.1 units)

I’ll update this page with my best bets in the Most Improved Player market throughout the season.

NBA Most Improved Player Betting Splits

Here are the latest betting insights for the Most Improved Player of the Year market at the online sportsbook:

• Most tickets: Victor Wembanyama 9.2%
• Highest handle: Jalen Williams 6.9%
• Biggest liability: Franz Wagner
• Odds leader: Jalen Williams

2023-24 NBA Most Improved Player Voting

List of Most Improved Player Winners