- Bet this Two-Team Moneyline Parlay featuring Celtics vs. Hornets, Trail Blazers vs. Rockets.
- Read on for analysis, best bet and NBA parlay pick for April 12.
Here are NBA parlay picks for Friday’s NBA schedule based on NBA moneylines. The slate features 15 games, including Cavaliers vs. Pacers, Thunder vs. Bucks and Kings vs. Suns.
NBA Parlay Picks for Today
Celtics vs. Hornets: Celtics 1H Moneyline (-250)
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: Rockets 1H Moneyline (-200)
This line suggests the Celtics are going to rest some key players on Friday against Charlotte.Â
Even if they do, are we sure their second-stringers are worse than the Charlotte starting lineup?Â
I’d argue no and remind bettors that the Celtics excel against these types of teams.Â
This season, the Celtics are 25-3 SU in the first half against teams with a losing record.Â
Additionally, Boston is 32-10 SU under Joe Mazzula in the first half off a loss, including 13-3 this season.Â
Plus, Charlotte has rarely pulled off straight up wins away from home in the first half.Â
To date, the Hornets are 8-29 SU in road first halves, including 0-5 in their last five road games.Â
It also marks their first road game against Boston this season. Sample the previous two home efforts and bettors will find they’re 0-2 SU.Â
Take the Celtics to win the first half as a result.Â
As for the Rockets, there’s some betting calculus behind this selection.Â
Both Houston and Portland are playing their second game in as many nights. History suggests that leads to a low-scoring first half.Â
Since 2005-06, first half unders featuring a conference home underdog with both teams on a back-to-back are 55.7% to the under.Â
In that scenario, I’m going to place my trust in the better offense: Houston.Â
Since the All-Star break, the Rockets are quietly 13th in offensive rating, per NBA Advanced Stats.Â
For the season, they’re 20th in adjusted offensive rating.Â
Portland is 27th in offensive rating since the break and 29th in adjusted offensive rating for the season, per dunksandthrees.com.Â
Given I trust the Rockets defense, too, expect them to start strong in the first half.
Parlay Odds: +110
$25 Parlay Payout: $52.50
NBA Moneyline Records & ROI
| Team | Record | ROI |
| Pacers | 47-36 | 11.2% |
| Lakers | 48-35 | 7.2% |
| Thunder | 57-25 | 7.0% |
| Cavaliers | 48-34 | 4.8% |
| Pelicans | 49-33 | 4.5% |
| Timberwolves | 56-26 | 4.0% |
| Magic | 47-35 | 3.7% |
| Grizzlies | 27-55 | 2.7% |
| Knicks | 50-32 | 2.2% |
| Bulls | 39-43 | 1.4% |
| Nuggets | 57-25 | 1.4% |
| Hornets | 21-61 | 0.9% |
| Mavericks | 50-32 | 0.8% |
| Celtics | 64-18 | 0.6% |
| Heat | 46-36 | 0.4% |
| 76ers | 47-35 | -1.9% |
| Suns | 49-33 | -2.7% |
| Rockets | 41-41 | -2.8% |
| Clippers | 51-31 | -4.6% |
| Kings | 46-36 | -4.9% |
| Jazz | 31-51 | -5.2% |
| Hawks | 36-46 | -7.8% |
| Warriors | 46-36 | -9.9% |
| Spurs | 22-60 | -10.8% |
| Bucks | 49-33 | -12.7% |
| Trail Blazers | 21-61 | -17.5% |
| Nets | 32-50 | -23.2% |
| Raptors | 25-57 | -32.7% |
| Wizards | 15-67 | -36.7% |
| Pistons | 14-68 | -43.3% |
How Often Do NBA Moneyline Favorites Win?
Favorites won 67.9% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons. Their ROI was -3.1% over that time.
The Golden State Warriors had the best record as a moneyline favorite over that time, winning 76.2% of games. However, their ROI was -3.3%, nearly 8 percentage points worse than the best team, the Philadelphia 76ers at 4.4%.
The Sacramento Kings had the worst record as a moneyline favorite, winning 58.7% of games.
How Often Do NBA Moneyline Underdogs Win?
Underdogs won 32.1% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons. Their ROI was -1.4% over that time.
The Toronto Raptors had the best record as moneyline underdog over that time, winning 41.4% of games. The Raptors underdog ROI was 6.8%, the fourth-best among all teams.
The 76ers had the worst record as a moneyline underdog, winning 26.5% of games.
How Often Do Moneyline Home Teams Win?
Home teams won 57.3% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons. Their ROI was -3% of that time.
The Warriors had the best moneyline home record over that time, winning 74.6% of games. The Warriors’ home ROI was 1.2%, the third-best among all teams.
The Knicks had the worst moneyline home record, winning 42.8% of games.
How Often Do Moneyline Road Teams Win?
Road teams won 42.7% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons. Their ROI was -1.7%
The Warriors had the best moneyline road record over that time, winning 57.5% of games. The Warriors road ROI was -5.7%, the ninth-worst among all teams.
The Orlando Magic had the moneyline worst road record, winning 28.6% of games.
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