NBA Parlay Picks: Moneyline Parlays for Today, Feb. 14

min read
BetMGM NBA Parlay Moneyline Picks
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Feb 14, 2024, 2:58 PM
  • Bet this Two-Team Moneyline Parlay featuring Nuggets vs. Kings, Jazz vs. Lakers
  • Read on for analysis, best bet and NBA parlay pick for Feb. 14.

Here are NBA parlay picks for Wednesday’s NBA schedule based on NBA moneylines. The slate features 13 games, including Celtics vs. Nets, Magic vs. Knicks and Nuggets vs. Kings.

NBA Parlay Picks for Today

Nuggets vs. Kings: Nuggets Moneyline (-250)
Jazz vs. Lakers: Jazz Moneyline (-210)

I outlined my case for the Nuggets’ first quarter spread in my NBA Picks & Predictions and similarly think they win this game outright. 

The Kings are playing on the second night of a back-to-back and their third game in four nights. Meanwhile, Denver has only played two games since Friday. 

Plus, the Nuggets own one of the NBA’s best home court advantages. 

Since the beginning of last season, Denver is 55-11 straight up at home, including 9-2 when the opponent is playing on back-to-back nights. 

As for the Kings, they’re a poor 6-9 straight up as an underdog this season. 

Although they’re 2-0 straight up against the Nuggets this season, the Kings played both games at home. 

Plus, Denver played both of those games on back-to-back nights. With the scheduling advantage flipped, expect the Nuggets to win on Wednesday. 

As for the Jazz, this play rests on the fact they’ve proved excellent off a loss this season. 

Utah is 9-3 straight up as a home team off a loss this season, including 5-2 when the game is a conference matchup. 

Like the Kings, the Lakers find themselves in a negative scheduling spot. 

They played on Tuesday night against Detroit and now head to Utah, where the Jazz are 18-7 straight up this season, including 7-2 as a favorite. 

Finally, when these sides met last January 13, the Jazz captured a seven-point home win over the Lakers. 

For those reasons, expect the Jazz to win this game outright and head into the break on a positive note.

Parlay Odds: +106
$25 Parlay Payout: $51.67

NBA Moneyline Records & ROI

TeamRecordROI
Cavaliers35-1719.3%
Thunder37-1712.0%
Pacers30-269.6%
Timberwolves38-168.8%
Pelicans32-227.4%
Magic29-257.1%
Jazz26-286.0%
Trail Blazers15-383.0%
Lakers30-262.8%
Celtics42-121.5%
Nuggets36-181.4%
Heat29-251.1%
Knicks33-210.4%
Mavericks31-230.3%
Clippers35-17-1.0%
76ers32-21-2.2%
Bulls26-28-3.5%
Suns32-22-4.7%
Grizzlies18-36-5.7%
Kings30-23-7.2%
Rockets24-29-11.2%
Bucks35-20-12.5%
Hornets12-41-14.2%
Warriors26-25-14.7%
Hawks24-30-21.3%
Nets21-32-21.9%
Raptors19-35-33.9%
Spurs11-43-45.8%
Pistons8-45-47.3%
Wizards9-44-55.2%

How Often Do NBA Moneyline Favorites Win?

Favorites won 67.9% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons. Their ROI was -3.1% over that time.

The Golden State Warriors had the best record as a moneyline favorite over that time, winning 76.2% of games. However, their ROI was -3.3%, nearly 8 percentage points worse than the best team, the Philadelphia 76ers at 4.4%.

The Sacramento Kings had the worst record as a moneyline favorite, winning 58.7% of games.

How Often Do NBA Moneyline Underdogs Win?

Underdogs won 32.1% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons. Their ROI was -1.4% over that time.

The Toronto Raptors had the best record as moneyline underdog over that time, winning 41.4% of games. The Raptors underdog ROI was 6.8%, the fourth-best among all teams.

The 76ers had the worst record as a moneyline underdog, winning 26.5% of games.

How Often Do Moneyline Home Teams Win?

Home teams won 57.3% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons. Their ROI was -3% of that time.

The Warriors had the best moneyline home record over that time, winning 74.6% of games. The Warriors’ home ROI was 1.2%, the third-best among all teams.

The Knicks had the worst moneyline home record, winning 42.8% of games.

How Often Do Moneyline Road Teams Win?

Road teams won 42.7% of regular-season games over the last 10 seasons. Their ROI was -1.7%

The Warriors had the best moneyline road record over that time, winning 57.5% of games. The Warriors road ROI was -5.7%, the ninth-worst among all teams.

The Orlando Magic had the moneyline worst road record, winning 28.6% of games.

Visit the online sportsbook for updated NBA odds, sports betting promos — including BetMGM’s welcome bonus — and more.

betmgm-nco-jamie-foxx
About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.