Nets vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 4

Brooklyn Nets logo on the left and San Antonio Spurs logo on the right
  • The Spurs are -3.5 favorites vs. the Nets
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on YES | FDSW

The Brooklyn Nets visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Antonio, TX, USA.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Nets vs Spurs Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nets are 31-28 against the spread, while the Spurs are 25-34 against the spread.


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Nets vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brooklyn Nets+3.5 -110O 228.5 -105+135
San Antonio Spurs -3.5 -110U 228.5 -115-165

Spurs vs Nets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nets and Spurs.

Spurs vs Nets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 62 games (+24.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 29 away games (+23.05 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 62 games (+18.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+12.45 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 65 games (+22.87 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 42 of their last 66 games (+14.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games at home (+12.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+8.95 Units / 32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nets have gone 31-28 (+0.15 Units / 0.23% ROI).

  • 21-39 against the Moneyline (+14.05 Units / 21.94% ROI)
  • 25-35 against the Over for game total points (-13.5 Units / -20.45% ROI)
  • 35-25 against the Under for game total points (+7.5 Units / 11.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 25-34 (-12.4 Units / -19.11% ROI).

  • 25-34 against the Moneyline (-7.1 Units / -8.64% ROI)
  • 31-27 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 2% ROI)
  • 27-31 against the Under for game total points (-7.1 Units / -10.94% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 75 games (-15.13 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the Spread in 6 of their last 25 games (-14.90 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 69 games (-14.29 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 69 games (-14.17 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 71 games (-13.70 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-22.45 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 82 games (-22.12 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 40 games (-18.15 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 76 games (-16.40 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Brooklyn Nets have only hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games (-15.80 Units / -34% ROI)

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Brooklyn Nets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Nets are 5-14 (.263) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Nets were 11-24 (.314) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Nets are 8-27 (.229) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

The Nets were 9-16 (.360) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Brooklyn Nets

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs are 5-40 (.111) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .307

The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Spurs are 19-59 (.244) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

Brooklyn Nets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nets have averaged 102.4 points per game (2,971 points/29 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Nets have averaged 50.5 points per game (3,031 points/60 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.2

The Nets have averaged 104.8 points per game (6,289 points/60 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.5

The Nets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (167 assists/ 135 TOs) in close and late situations this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have a 22% free throw rate (1,388 free throw attempts/6,434 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

The Spurs averaged 29.6 assists per game (1,214 assists/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2

The Spurs are shooting 35% from three (810/2,337) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs averaged 15.6 fast break points per game (1,280 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Brooklyn Nets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nets have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,919 rebounds/60 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Nets averaged 6.8 steals per game (556 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nets have averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,787 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nets have averaged 6.9 steals per game (494 steals/72 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (371 blocks/59 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Spurs have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (891 blocks/141 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Spurs averaged 7.1 steals per game (584 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Spurs blocked 520 shots last season — 3rd most among NBA teams


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