Nuggets vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 19

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Denver Nuggets visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nuggets vs Lakers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 33-35 against the spread, while the Lakers are 38-28 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets O
Los Angeles Lakers U

Lakers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Lakers.

Lakers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 67 games (+17.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+9.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 81 games (+22.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 27 games (+19.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 27 games (+18.35 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1H Spread in 47 of their last 74 games (+16.52 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+15.62 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 33-35 (-5.5 Units / -7.25% ROI).

  • 44-25 against the Moneyline (+2.3 Units / 1.14% ROI)
  • 40-29 against the Over for game total points (+8.1 Units / 10.67% ROI)
  • 29-40 against the Under for game total points (-15 Units / -19.76% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 38-28 (+7.2 Units / 9.78% ROI).

  • 42-25 against the Moneyline (+7.55 Units / 5.26% ROI)
  • 32-35 against the Over for game total points (-6.5 Units / -8.83% ROI)
  • 35-32 against the Under for game total points (-0.25 Units / -0.34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 76 games (-24.05 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 75 games (-23.12 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-21.12 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 73 games (-19.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 82 games (-19.52 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 84 games (-27.50 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 67 games (-27.30 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 91 games (-23.25 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 93 games (-18.90 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Nuggets are 21-4 (.840) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .608

The Nuggets are 33-10 (.767) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have averaged 50.8 rebounds/game this season — 6th-lowest in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 21-7 (.750) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Lakers have forced 13.6 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-lowest in the NBA.

The Nuggets are winless (0-12) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .091

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Lakers are 19-6 (.760) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .632

The Lakers are 40-33 (.548) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Lakers are 15-5 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

The Lakers are 45-22 (.672) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 10.9 fast break points per game (750 points/69 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (243 assists/ 99 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,036 points/69 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.8

The Nuggets have averaged 29.1 points in the paint per game (4,396 points/151 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 5.0 second chance points per game (747 points/149 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers have averaged 11.2 second chance points per game (1,669 points/149 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,545 rebounds/69 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,491 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (314 blocks/67 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Lakers have averaged 7.5 steals per game (1,120 steals/149 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Lakers have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (768 blocks/149 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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