- The Nuggets are -8.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
- Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
- Watch the game on KATU | AL2
The Denver Nuggets visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Portland, OR.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).
The Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 10-13 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 14-11 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Denver Nuggets | -8.5 -105 | O 234.5 -110 | -350 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | +8.5 -115 | U 234.5 -110 | +280 |
Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Trail Blazers.
Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 55.1% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 48 games (+11.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.96 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI)
Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 83 games (+25.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 56 games (+17.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+11.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+7.20 Units / 94% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 10-13 (-4.3 Units / -16.29% ROI).
- 14-10 against the Moneyline (-3.65 Units / -6.7% ROI)
- 16-8 against the Over for game total points (+7.2 Units / 27.27% ROI)
- 8-16 against the Under for game total points (-9.6 Units / -36.36% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 14-11 (+1.9 Units / 6.66% ROI).
- 8-18 against the Moneyline (+3.25 Units / 12.08% ROI)
- 11-14 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -15.38% ROI)
- 14-11 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 6.64% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 83 games (-37.70 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 56 games (-25.37 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-20.10 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 35 games at home (-17.12 Units / -47% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 68 games (-15.80 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 89 games (-35.80 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 89 games (-32.85 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 39 games (-21.10 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 89 games (-19.80 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 89 games (-19.27 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Portland Trail Blazers
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Portland Trail Blazers Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Portland Trail Blazers Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
The Nuggets are 46-4 (.920) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 49% since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.
The Nuggets were 20-8 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Nuggets are 17-7 (.708) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575
Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Trail Blazers are 2-28 (.067) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308
The Trail Blazers were 1-11 (.083) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424
The Trail Blazers were 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Trail Blazers are 1-12 (.077) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .463
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (260 points/24 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.8 (93 assists/ 33 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have averaged 15.2 assists per game (365 assists/24 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (1,270 assists/ 513 TOs) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers had a TS% of 48% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 50% since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 51% in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 50% on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (112 blocks/24 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Nuggets have averaged 9.1 steals per game (218 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Nuggets have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (294 blocks/54 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.2 defensive rebounds per game (838 rebounds/26 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,506 rebounds/108 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (6,179 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
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