- The Nuggets are -12.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
- Total (Over/Under): 211.5 points
- Watch the game on RTNW | ALT
The Denver Nuggets visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Portland, OR.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 208.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 32-36 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 33-36 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Denver Nuggets | -9.5 -110 | O 208.5 -110 | -450 |
Portland Trail Blazers | +9.5 -110 | U 208.5 -110 | +340 |
Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 91.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Trail Blazers.
Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 91 games (+26.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 97 games (+21.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 99 games (+16.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 41 away games (+15.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 83 games (+14.60 Units / 15% ROI)
Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+9.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 60 games (+6.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 32-36 (-7.6 Units / -9.86% ROI).
- 49-21 against the Moneyline (+15 Units / 6.17% ROI)
- 27-41 against the Over for game total points (-18.1 Units / -23.49% ROI)
- 41-27 against the Under for game total points (+11.35 Units / 14.75% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 33-36 (-6.6 Units / -8.57% ROI).
- 19-51 against the Moneyline (-9.2 Units / -12.33% ROI)
- 35-35 against the Over for game total points (-3.5 Units / -4.54% ROI)
- 35-35 against the Under for game total points (-3.45 Units / -4.48% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 69 games (-23.00 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 71 games (-22.00 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 80 games (-20.95 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 80 games (-19.10 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 71 games (-19.10 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 99 games (-35.55 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 99 games (-25.80 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 98 games (-25.45 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 41 away games (-20.85 Units / -45% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 98 games (-16.90 Units / -15% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Portland Trail Blazers
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Portland Trail Blazers Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Portland Trail Blazers Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Nuggets are 24-5 (.828) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576
The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Nuggets were 24-7 (.774) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Nuggets are 15-6 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .449
Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Trail Blazers were 15-31 (.326) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460
The Trail Blazers are 2-15 (.118) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .322
The Trail Blazers are 12-26 (.316) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548
The Trail Blazers are winless (0-22) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .115
Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets – Saturday‘s Game, Mar. 23
- Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers): Groin, Out
- Rayan Rupert (Portland Trail Blazers): Ankle, Out
- Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
- Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
- Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
- Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
- Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
- Hunter Tyson (Denver Nuggets): Finger, Out
- Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Lower Leg, Out
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (1,046 assists/ 420 TOs) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,365/6,565) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,579 assists/ 1,048 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (820 assists/ 531 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Trail Blazers have a TS% of 48% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 7.0 steals per game (491 steals/70 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Nuggets have averaged 7.1 steals per game (549 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Nuggets have allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3
The Nuggets have allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,222 rebounds/69 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,960 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (74/278) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%
The Trail Blazers averaged 6.7 steals per game (553 steals/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
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