Pacers vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 8

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDSE | FDIN | PeTV | WANF

The Indiana Pacers visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pacers vs Hawks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 29-30 against the spread, while the Hawks are 30-33 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers O
Atlanta Hawks U

Hawks vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Hawks.

Hawks vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 56.9% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+21.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.12 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+12.59 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 83 games (+11.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 55 of their last 95 games (+11.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 51 of their last 79 games (+19.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 58 games (+19.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 79 games (+19.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 58 games (+16.06 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 80 games (+14.90 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 29-30 (-4 Units / -5.95% ROI).

  • 35-26 against the Moneyline (+4.6 Units / 3.63% ROI)
  • 31-26 against the Over for game total points (+2.4 Units / 3.58% ROI)
  • 26-31 against the Under for game total points (-8.1 Units / -12.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 30-33 (-6.3 Units / -9.1% ROI).

  • 29-34 against the Moneyline (+8.9 Units / 10.28% ROI)
  • 37-25 against the Over for game total points (+9.5 Units / 13.71% ROI)
  • 25-37 against the Under for game total points (-15.7 Units / -22.66% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 81 games (-31.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 81 games (-27.10 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 25 of their last 65 games (-19.93 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-18.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 96 games (-24.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 96 games (-24.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 90 games (-20.12 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 89 games (-20.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 76 games (-19.69 Units / -19% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Pacers are 23-13 (.639) when they win the turnover margin this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have averaged 15.7 turnovers per game this season — 5th-highest in the NBA.

The Pacers were 12-4 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pacers are winless (0-6) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .177

The Pacers are 38-20 (.655) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Hawks are 7-3 (.700) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

The Hawks are 12-25 (.324) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .422

The Hawks were 13-21 (.382) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Hawks were 14-20 (.412) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Pacers averaged 30.8 assists per game (2,522 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers have averaged 5.2 second chance points per game (316 points/61 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (454 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Hawks shot 47% (3,529/7,584) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hawks have 23.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8

The Hawks have averaged 18.2 offensive rebounds per game (2,632 rebounds/145 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.6

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,107 rebounds/61 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Pacers have allowed 55.5 points in the paint per game (7,930 points/143 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers blocked 481 shots last season — 8th most among NBA teams

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks allowed 8.5 fast break points per game (694 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 6.8

The Hawks allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (4,938 points/3,512 shots) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (692 blocks/145 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.