- The Heat are -2.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
- Watch the game on FDIN | SUN
The Indiana Pacers visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Pacers vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 13-19 against the spread, while the Heat are 15-16 against the spread.
Bet now on Heat vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM
Pacers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Indiana Pacers | O | ||
| Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Heat.
Heat vs Pacers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
Bet now on Heat vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM
Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 99 games (+19.29 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 56 games (+16.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 68 games (+12.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+11.45 Units / 151% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+10.95 Units / 37% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+19.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 58 games (+15.12 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 73 games (+12.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.26 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 13-19 (-7.9 Units / -21.12% ROI).
- 16-18 against the Moneyline (-6.95 Units / -10.82% ROI)
- 20-12 against the Over for game total points (+6.8 Units / 18.18% ROI)
- 12-20 against the Under for game total points (-10 Units / -26.74% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 15-16 (-2.6 Units / -7.62% ROI).
- 17-14 against the Moneyline (+3.35 Units / 5.87% ROI)
- 17-14 against the Over for game total points (+1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI)
- 14-17 against the Under for game total points (-4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 86 games (-31.53 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 81 games (-23.25 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-19.35 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 81 games (-18.35 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 87 games (-17.75 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 99 games (-33.70 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 100 games (-29.82 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 62 games (-21.90 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 100 games (-19.15 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-18.80 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Pacers are winless (0-11) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .109
The Pacers are 3-11 (.214) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .390
The Pacers are 10-9 (.526) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436
The Pacers are 40-23 (.635) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .537
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Heat are 10-4 (.714) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 49.2 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.
The Heat are 21-2 (.913) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 49% since the start of the 2023-24 season — worst in the NBA.
The Heat are 17-9 (.654) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Heat were 2-6 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3
The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Pacers have averaged 17.1 fast break points per game (3,239 points/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat have averaged 53.5 points per game (6,049 points/113 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pacers have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,199 rebounds/34 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5
The Pacers allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3
The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (569 blocks/96 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (387 blocks/113 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (301 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Bet now on Heat vs Pacers and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
