Pacers vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pelicans are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSIN | WVUE

The Indiana Pacers visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Pacers vs Pelicans Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 32-26 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 32-27 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+5.5 -110O 238.5 -105+170
New Orleans Pelicans -5.5 -110U 238.5 -115-210

Pelicans vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Friday‘s game with 72.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.2% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 79 games (+17.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 26 games (+15.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 79 games (+12.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 46 of their last 79 games (+10.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 away games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 55 of their last 80 games (+35.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 74 games (+18.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 49 of their last 80 games (+17.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 56 games (+14.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+13.75 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 32-26 (+3.4 Units / 5.07% ROI).

  • 34-27 against the Moneyline (-2 Units / -1.75% ROI)
  • 32-27 against the Over for game total points (+2.25 Units / 3.35% ROI)
  • 27-32 against the Under for game total points (-8.15 Units / -12.16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 32-27 (+2.35 Units / 3.56% ROI).

  • 35-25 against the Moneyline (+4.55 Units / 3.65% ROI)
  • 27-33 against the Over for game total points (-9.3 Units / -14.09% ROI)
  • 33-27 against the Under for game total points (+3.3 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-19.80 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 80 games (-14.60 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 33 games at home (-11.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 16 games (-11.05 Units / -64% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-24.10 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-23.90 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-23.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-18.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 34 games (-18.15 Units / -49% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Pacers were 6-10 (.375) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Pacers are 2-7 (.222) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Pacers were 15-20 (.429) when they lose the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pacers are 28-46 (.378) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Pelicans are 10-1 (.909) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .631

The Pelicans are 22-8 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

The Pelicans were 13-2 (.867) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Pelicans are 24-32 (.429) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. PacersFriday‘s Game, Mar. 1

  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers averaged 10.0 fast break points per game (819 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pacers have a TS% of 55% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Pacers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (827 assists/ 356 TOs) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (364/904) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (1,196 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pelicans are shooting 31% from three (45/146) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Pelicans had 24.4 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,805 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,535 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (839/2,578) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans stole the ball 681 times last season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,719/5,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.